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Chris Vermeulen – The Technical Traders – Tue 30 Apr, 2019

Watch for a rotation of money out of the risk on over to risk off assets

Chris Vermeulen, Founder of The Technical Traders joins me to take a look at the overall makeup of money in the markets. With a couple of the major averages hitting all time highs recently the run looks to be getting a little tired. Chris thinks we could see a general rotation of money into the risk-off sectors for investors looking for depressed areas. Pay close attention to the time frame Chris outlines though.

Click here to visit The Technical Traders website and follow along with Chris’s trades.

Markets Are Setting Up For A Shake Out – Be Prepared

 

April 29, 2019
Chris Vermeulen
TheTechnicalTraders.com

Markets Are Setting Up A Shake Out - Be Prepared

Investors don't forget the great opportunities available with stock warrants:

 

Stock Warrants - Power Point Presentation

 

 

Prepare For Unknown Price Action As New Highs Are Reached

 

April 22, 2019
Chris Vermeulen
TheTechnicalTraders.com

Prepare For Unknown Price Action As New Highs Are Reached

Investors don't forget the great opportunities available with stock warrants:

Stock Warrants - Power Point Presentation

 

 

Watch The Financial Sector For The Next Topping Pattern

A very interesting price pattern is setting up in the financial sector that could lead to a very big move in the US & Global markets.  Remember how in 2008-09, the Financial sector and Insurance sector were some of the biggest hit stock sectors to prompt a global market crisis?  Well, the next few weeks and months for the financial sector are setting up to be critical for our future expectations of the US stock market and global economy.

Right now, many of the financial sector stocks are poised near an upper price channel that must be breached/broken before any further upside http:/price advance can take place.  The current trend has been bullish as prices have rallied off the December 2018 lows.  Yet, we are acutely aware of the bigger price channels that could become critical to our future decision making.  If there is any price weakness near these upper price channel levels and any downside price rotation, the downside potential for the price is massive and could lead to bigger concerns.

Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Let’s start off by taking a look at these Monthly charts…

This first Monthly Bank Of America chart is best at showing the price channel (in YELLOW) as well as a key Fibonacci price level (highlighted by the MAGENTA line).  We’ve also highlighted a price zone with a green shaded box that we believe is key support/resistance for the current price trend.

As you can see from this chart, since early February 2018, the overall trend has shifted into a sideways bearish trend.  The price recovery from December 2018 was impressive, yes, but it is still rotating within this sideways/bearish price channel.  Our belief is that this YELLOW upper price channel level MUST be broken in order for the price to continue higher at this point.  Any failure to accomplish this will result in a price reversal that could precipitate a 30% price decline in the value of BAC.  In other words, “it is do-or-die time – again”.

 

This Monthly JPM chart shows a similar pattern, yet the price channel is a bit more narrow visually.  We have almost the same setup in JPM as we do in BAC.  The same channels, the same type of Fibonacci price support level, the same type of sideways price support zone (the shaded box) and the same overall setup.  As traders, we have to watch for these types of setup and be aware of the risks that could unfold with a collapse of the financial sector over the next few weeks.

We believe the next few weeks could be critical for the financial sector and for the overall markets.  If weakness hits the financial sector as global growth continues to stagnate we could enter a period where the global perception of the future 12~24 months may change.  Right now, perception has been relatively optimistic in the global stock markets.  Most traders have been optimistic that the markets will recover and a US/China trade deal will get settled.  The biggest concern has been the EU and the growth of the European countries.

What if that suddenly changed?

 

We are not saying it will or that we know anything special about this setup.  We are just suggesting that the Monthly charts, above, are suggesting that price will either break above this upper price channel or fail to break this level and move lower.  We are suggesting that, as skilled traders, we need to be acutely aware of the risks within the financial sector right now and prepare for either outcome.

This last chart, a Weekly FAS chart, shows a more detailed view of this same price rotation and sideways expanding wedge/channel formation.  Pay very close attention to the shaded support channel shown with the GREEN BOX on this chart.  Any price rotation within this level should be considered “within a support channel” and not a real risk initially.  We want to see price break above the upper price channel fairly quickly, within the next 2 to 5+ weeks, and we can to see it establish a new high (above $78 on this chart) to confirm a new bullish price trend.  Once this happens, we’ll be watching for further price rotation and setups.  If it fails to happen, then the RED DOWN ARROW is the most likely outcome given the current price setup.

 

Any downside price move in the Financial sector would have to be associated with some decreased future expectations by investors.  Thus, our bigger concern is that something is lurking just below the surface right now that could pull the floor out from under this sector.  Is it a surprise Fed rate increase?  Is it some news from the EU?  Is it a sudden increase in credit defaults?  What is the “other shoe” – so to say.

Be prepared.  If all goes well, then we’ll know within a few more weeks if the upside price rally will continue or if we need to start digging for clues as to why the support for the financial sector is eroding.  This really is a “do or die” setup in the financial sector and we urge all traders to pay very close attention to this sector going forward.  We believe it will be the leading sector for any major price weakness across the global markets.

Do you want to find a team of dedicated researchers and traders that can help you find and execute better trades in 2019 and beyond?  Please visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we can help you prepare for the big moves in the global markets and find better opportunities for greater success in the future.  Our team of researchers and traders continue to scan the markets for new trades and incredible research for all our members and followers.

Chris Vermeulen

Chris Vermeulen – The Technical Traders – Tue 16 Apr, 2019

How To Play This Selloff In Gold and Gold Stocks

Chris Vermeulen, Founder of The Technical Traders has been relatively bearish on gold over the past couple months. Now that we have this down move in gold and gold stocks he weighs in on how low the metal could go and how long the downtrend could last.

Click here to visit Chris’s site – The Technical Traders.

Is This The Last Leg Higher For The Dow Index?

Our researchers, at Technical Traders Ltd., believe this current upside price move is nearing the end of any immediate upside potential.  Yes, back in December 2018 and before, we called for an “Ultimate Low” pattern setup followed by an incredible run to new all-time highs when almost everyone else was calling for a continued downside price move.  Now, that the YM/DOW is only 640 points away from reaching all-time highs again, we believe a new price peak will setup sometime near June/July 2019.

Our researchers believe the continued upside price bias will stay in place for at least another 30 days and that the YM.DOW will establish new higher all-time highs in late April or early May 2019.  We believe once a “scouting party” type price move completes above the all-time highs near $27,000, a sideways price rotation will begin that may last as long as 25 to 55 days.  Our predictive modeling systems are suggesting that June/July are important months for the global equities/stock markets and we believe we’ll know more about the setups that will prompt bigger moves as we get closer to these dates.

Right now, our researchers are suggesting the upside move in the YM/DOW is likely to push higher by +2.5 to +3% or slightly more.  Once the $27,000 level is breached to the upside, traders should begin to become much more cautious of price rotation and volatility.  As we head into June/July/August 2019, be prepared for a spike in volatility/VIX as price rotation is likely to become much more aggressive.

 

Read our most recent research to learn more about what we believe will happen over the next few months.  Get ready for some bigger price swings and prepare for the last bit of upside price trending before a price peak sets up near June/July.  Ultimately, we believe there is an opportunity for skilled traders that can see and create opportunity from these moves.  We’ve been warning that 2019 is going to be an incredible year for skilled traders – our call near the end of 2018 that this move higher would target new all-time highs is proof of the opportunity that exists if you pay attention to our research.  Do you know of any other firm that called this move as accurately as we did?

On September 17, 2018 our Predictive Trading Model Suggests Falling Stock Prices During US Elections.

Please visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn more about how we help our members learn to find and execute incredible trading opportunities.  We’ve recently launched a new technology solution for our members that delivers our incredible research and trading solutions.  2019 is going to continue to be an incredible year for skilled traders – you won’t want to miss these big moves that are setting up.

Chris Vermeulen

Crude Oil Nearing Resistance – Could A New Top Form Here?

The recent recovery in Crude Oil has, partially, been based on increasing expectations of a global economic recovery taking place and the continued news that the US/China will work out a trade deal.  Crude inventories.  Just last week US Crude Oil inventories came in at +7.2 million barrels vs. expectations of -425,000 barrels ().  Additionally, concerns in Syria and Libya are pushing prices a bit higher as well.  Whenever there are supply concerns or uncertainty out of this region, prices tend to rise.

The facts remain very dynamic for Oil.  The US is continuing to produce more and more oil and is expected to become a “net exporter” of oil this year.  Economic issues will, eventually, resolve themselves, yet we don’t know the final outcome of these trade deals or how the economy will react to any milestones that are required within the final settlement.  And, again, these continuing issues in Libya, Syria and near this region are likely to cause some increased levels of uncertainty over the next 60+ days.

Our researchers, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, believe the $65.00 level will act as resistance to this current upswing.  We believe the upside price move may continue to levels near $67.50 before weakening and beginning a topping formation.  We believe our expectation that precious metals will bottom near April 21~24 is key to understanding the dynamics of this move in Oil.  As long as FEAR does not enter the market, then Oil will likely react to impulse factors exclusively related to Oil.  Once Gold breaks out above $1500 per ounce, our belief is that Oil will react to fear factors related to some broader economic event driving investors into precious metals.

Therefore, we are urging traders to be cautious of the upside price swing in Oil at the moment.  Yes, we believe the upside will continue for at least another 10~15 days (possibly changing direction near April 21~24).  Yes, we believe current global dynamics support moderately higher Oil prices.  Yet, we feel these factors may change within the next 20~45 days as we believe some increased fear levels are about to hit the global markets.

 

At this point, we would urge Bullish Oil traders to start to become more cautious of any downside risks and begin to prepare for increased volatility.  We don’t have any real clue as to how this move will setup, but we do believe our other research support increased volatility within the Crude Oil markets and the potential for a new downside price swing before any further upside move sets up.

Please take a minute to review this research post from January 31, 2019: Learning From our SP500, Gold and Oil Research & Profit.

We’ve recently launched a new technology solution for our members that delivers our incredible research and trading solutions.  You can also visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com/FreeResearch/ to learn more about our research team and past article.  20129 is going to continue to be an incredible year for skilled traders – you won’t want to miss these big moves that are setting up.

Chris Vermeulen

Canadian Dollar May Be Setting Up For An Upside Breakout

Our researchers, at Technical Traders Ltd., believe a current pennant/flag formation in the Canadian Dollar is suggesting an upside breakout move may be setting up over the next 5~7+ days.  Recently, the Canadian Dollar has weakened from 0.76875 to lows near 0.74375.  Current price rotation is almost perfectly aligned with Fibonacci Price theory suggesting that the recent failure to establish any new lower price level (highlighted on this chart in MAGENTA), suggests a tightening price range as the current pennant/flag formation completes over the next 5~7+ days.  It is our belief that as long as the current price level stays above the 0.74375 level throughout the completed pennant apex, an upside price break is very likely.

Skilled traders may look at this opportunity for an incredible 200+ pip upside price swing.  We believe the current downward price trend will be the last opportunity to target lower prices before the upside breakout occurs.  The next 3~5 days will likely see prices move a bit lower, targeting the lower support channel before the breakout rally begins.

Interestingly enough, this move in the Canadian Dollar aligns with our Gold/Silver research suggesting an April 21~24 date as a major bottom/basing date.  Could it be that some currency fluctuation or global market event will drive bigger moves in many of the major currencies while pushing traders into the precious metals markets at the same time?  We’ll know more as we get closer to the April 21~24 date, but right now we believe all the tea leaves are aligning for some type of bigger move in later April and skilled traders should begin positioning their trades accordingly.

If you want to learn how valuable a team of dedicated researchers and traders can be to your bottom line, visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we can help you find and profit from these moves.  We believe you won’t find anything like our proprietary research and trading triggers anywhere else on the planet.  Do yourself a favor and read some of our recent research posts to see just how valuable we can be to your future – then consider supporting our team and effort to assist you.

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategist

Chris Vermeulen – The Technical Traders – Wed 3 Apr, 2019

Oil Nearing Resistance But Stocks Lagging – Sounds Like A Lot Of Commodities

Chris Vermeulen, Founder of The Technical Traders shares his thoughts on the energy markets, including oil and natural gas. As oil nears resistance we could see a short term pullback but overall the continuation of a range bound market. The stocks continue to lag which sure sounds like a lot of other commodities…

Click here to visit the Technical Traders website and follow along with Chris’s calls.

ADL Predictions For Price Of Gold

As we’ve been suggesting for months, expect continued moderate price weakness in Gold and Silver through most of April 2019 and possibly into early May 2019 before a strong price rally will setup and push Gold prices well above $1500 before the end of 2019.  Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive price modeling system has been calling for this move for many months (see the chart below).  This advanced predictive price modeling system is suggesting that in May/June of 2019, we will likely see a bigger price rally unfold in Gold and Silver which may be paired with some type of geopolitical or global economic event.  See this article for more details.

Gold rallies on fear (in most cases) and the only reason for Gold to really as our ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting is that some renewed level of fear could enter the global markets.  This could be from any type of global crisis event or even a regional crisis event (think Brexit, EU crisis or some other foreign nation crisis).  We believe skilled traders should be actively seeking to identify buying opportunities below $1295 in Gold as we only have about 20 days left before our original bottom/base date of April 21, 2019.

This Gold Monthly chart, below, highlights the ADL predictive modeling systems expectations as well as the three support levels that we believe all Gold traders should be targeting.  Gold is currently within the first target level and an opportunity to buy below $1295 would be an excellent starting position.  Further, any additional opportunity to buy below $1250 should be an incredible opportunity – if it happens.  Lastly, our lowest support level is below $1165.  Although unlikely, if Gold retraces to below this level, then please don’t miss this opportunity to get into additional long positions.

Our ADL predictive price modeling system is suggesting that May & June 2019 will start a bullish price rally in Gold and Silver that should push prices well above $1500 by October/November 2019 – possibly much higher.  Overall, we believe this could be the beginning of a much bigger upside leg in Precious metals and all traders need to be aware of this future price move.

We’ve been suggesting this could be the “move of a lifetime” setting up in the metals because it will likely pair or align with some type of broader global stock market move to the downside.  Our opinion is that May/June are dates that all traders should consider developing very protective positions as the markets shake up and Gold begins this incredible run higher.

Take a minute to visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we help our members find and execute better trades while keeping them aware of market trends, cycles and key insights using our proprietary predictive price modeling utilities.  We are certain you will find our research above and beyond anything else you’ve seen anywhere on the planet.  Please consider joining our other hundreds of members in developing better skills and finding incredible opportunities for future success while trading with www.TheTechnicalTraders.com.

Chris Vermeulen