WHAT TO EXPECT IN EARLY 2020


December 31, 2019
Chris Vermeulen
TheTechnicalTraders.com

 

 

Note from Dudley - These Guys Are Good:
Chris and his team are providing investors with a great road map for the direction of the markets, which is why I am also a paid subscriber to TheTechnicalTraders services and encourage you to consider a subscription as well, The ideal service to supplement your other subscriptions as well as my CommonStockWarrants.com.

Stock & ETF Trading Signals

WHAT TO EXPECT IN EARLY 2020

Investors don’t forget the great opportunities available with stock warrants which will increase your potential gains and greatly decrease your investment cost by at least half.

E.B. Tucker with Casey Research, recently referred to Dudley as ‘the top expert in the field with over 40 years of experience‘ with stock warrants.

“I also encourage you to check out the work from our friend Dudley Baker. Dudley is the founder and editor of Common Stock Warrants. He’s been trading warrants for 40 years and has developed an exclusive database of all stock warrants trading in the U.S. and Canada. We’re paid-up subscribers as well.”

Don't overlook the power and leverage and the opportunities using stock warrants on your favorite companies.

 

 

Jeff Baker
Senior Analyst – Admin/Web Developer
B.Sc. Geological Sciences (UTEP)
Common Stock Warrants & Junior Mining News

Chris Vermeulen Looks For New Trading Setups For 2020

December 19, 2019
Chris Vermeulen
TheTechnicalTraders.com

 

 

Note from Dudley - These Guys Are Good:
Chris and his team are providing investors with a great road map for the direction of the markets, which is why I am also a paid subscriber to TheTechnicalTraders services and encourage you to consider a subscription as well, The ideal service to supplement your other subscriptions as well as my CommonStockWarrants.com.

Stock & ETF Trading Signals

 

VERMEULEN AND SWANSON LOOK TO NEW TRADING SETUPS FOR 2020

Investors don’t forget the great opportunities available with stock warrants which will increase your potential gains and greatly decrease your investment cost by at least half.

E.B. Tucker with Casey Research, recently referred to Dudley as ‘the top expert in the field with over 40 years of experience‘ with stock warrants.

“I also encourage you to check out the work from our friend Dudley Baker. Dudley is the founder and editor of Common Stock Warrants. He’s been trading warrants for 40 years and has developed an exclusive database of all stock warrants trading in the U.S. and Canada. We’re paid-up subscribers as well.”

A few examples for you to see the power and leverage of using stock warrants.

Stock Warrants – Power Point Presentation

 

Jeff Baker
Senior Analyst – Admin/Web Developer
B.Sc. Geological Sciences (UTEP)
Common Stock Warrants & Junior Mining News

CYPER MONDAY SPECIAL

In the spirit of the day, I have decided to have a special discount on my services which will allow new customers the opportunity to see what I have offered for over 14 years.

Upon signing up, enter the coupon code     gold     to receive a 50% DISCOUNT off of either my Silver or Gold Subscription.

DOES NOT APPLY TO MY LIFETIME SERVICE WHICH IS ALREADY A BARGAIN AT $2,500.

My stock warrants database is a one of a kind, sortable by expiry date of warrants, name of company, symbol and much more.

Included are all stock warrants trading in the United States and Canada, including all industries and sectors.

If not familiar with stock warrants download for free from my website,

“The Stock Warrant Handbook, Your Personal Guide To Trading Stock Warrants”.

THIS OFFER WILL EXPIRE AT 12 NOON ON TUESDAY, DECEMBER 3RD.

Dudley Pierce Baker
Founder - Editor
CommonStockWarrants.com

Welcome To The Zombie Land Of Investing (Part I & II)

November 12, 2019
Chris Vermeulen
TheTechnicalTraders.com

 

 

 

Note from Dudley - These Guys Are Good:
Chris and his team are providing investors with a great road map for the direction of the markets, which is why I am also a paid subscriber to TheTechnicalTraders services and encourage you to consider a subscription as well, The ideal service to supplement your other subscriptions as well as my CommonStockWarrants.com.

2007 Market Top Compared to 2019 Pattern

Welcome To The Zombie-Land Of Investing (Part I)

Welcome To The Zombie-Land Of Investing (Part II)

Investors don’t forget the great opportunities available with stock warrants which will increase your potential gains and greatly decrease your investment cost by at least half.

E.B. Tucker with Casey Research, recently referred to Dudley as ‘the top expert in the field with over 40 years of experience‘ with stock warrants.

“I also encourage you to check out the work from our friend Dudley Baker. Dudley is the founder and editor of Common Stock Warrants. He’s been trading warrants for 40 years and has developed an exclusive database of all stock warrants trading in the U.S. and Canada. We’re paid-up subscribers as well.”

A few examples for you to see the power and leverage of using stock warrants.

Stock Warrants – Power Point Presentation

 

Jeff Baker
Senior Analyst – Admin/Web Developer
B.Sc. Geological Sciences (UTEP)
Common Stock Warrants & Junior Mining News

News And Emotions Aside This Is Where Stocks And Metals Are Headed

September 25, 2019
Chris Vermeulen
TheTechnicalTraders.com

 

Note from Dudley:
Chris and his team are providing investors with a great road map for the direction of the markets, which is why I am also a paid subscriber to TheTechnicalTraders services and encourage you to consider a subscription as well, The ideal service to supplement your other subscriptions as well as my CommonStockWarrants.com.

News And Emotions Aside This Is Where Stocks And Metals Are Headed

Investors don’t forget the great opportunities available with stock warrants which will increase your potential gains and greatly decrease your investment cost by at least half.

E.B. Tucker with Casey Research, recently referred to Dudley as ‘the top expert in the field with over 40 years of experience‘ with stock warrants.

“I also encourage you to check out the work from our friend Dudley Baker. Dudley is the founder and editor of Common Stock Warrants. He’s been trading warrants for 40 years and has developed an exclusive database of all stock warrants trading in the U.S. and Canada. We’re paid-up subscribers as well.”

A few examples for you to see the power and leverage
of using stock warrants.

Stock Warrants – Power Point Presentation

 

Jeff Baker
Senior Analyst – Admin/Web Developer
B.Sc. Geological Sciences (UTEP)
Common Stock Warrants & Junior Mining News

Investor Interest Is Soaring For These Securities

Investor Interest Is Soaring For These Securities

 

Better than options, better than shares, better than preferred shares and better than convertible debentures.

Some others in the business have referred to these securities as Premium Shares, however, there is no such thing as Premium Shares which was a ‘made-up’ term by others for marketing to their base.

These securities are actually stock warrants which have been around since the 1920s.

Stock warrants are a favorite of many large and savvy investors, like Warren Buffett and Rick Rule, both of which would never participate in a financing unless warrants are issued to them as well as the common shares of the company.

For investors, ‘timing’ is extremely important, when to buy, when to sell. It is like a merry-go-round and each investor is in control as to when to enter or exit a trade. With stock warrants I usually like to have at least 2 years of remaining life before buying the warrants and there are many in my databases.

So warrants can be viewed as an equity kicker, incentive, to get the deal done and Warren and Rick are tough negotiators and want the best terms possible.

Admittedly, most of the warrants which Warren Buffett and Rick Rule receive are in connection with private placements which might not be available to the average investor, but there are many stock warrants trading which can be bought on the exchanges just like buying common shares but only if you know where to go and what to do.

In the United States, stock warrants trade on the NYSE, NASDAQ, AMEX and the Over the Counter Market (pink sheets). In Canada, the stock warrants trade on the (TSX) Toronto Stock Exchange, (TSXV) Toronto Venture Exchange, (CSE) Canadian Stock Exchange and the (NEO) NEO Exchange.

Our website //  http://CommonStockWarrants.com provides investors several different levels of subscription, all of which give you access to our ‘one of a kind’ database of stock warrants as well as possible access to Dudley's portfolio and weekly audio.

Numerous investment professionals are subscribers to these services including E.B. Tucker of Casey Research.

E.B’s Comments:
E.B. Tucker with Casey Research, recently referred to Dudley as 'the top expert in the field with over 40 years of experience' with stock warrants.

“I also encourage you to check out the work from our friend Dudley Baker. Dudley is the founder and editor of Common Stock Warrants. He’s been trading warrants for 40 years and has developed an exclusive database of all stock warrants trading in the U.S. and Canada. We’re paid-up subscribers as well”.

If we can be of service to you, reach out to Dudley at support@CommonStockWarrants.com

If other analysts and newsletter writers are subscribers that should tell you a lot of what we offer and the quality of our services.

JOIN US NOW - For A Month, A Year or a Lifetime

For the team,

Jeff Baker
Senior Analyst - Admin/Web Developer
B.Sc. Geological Sciences (UTEP)

How To Invest And Prosper With Warrants

April 25, 2019
Stockhouse Editorials

Note from Dudley at CommonStockWarrants.com

I just stumbled on this article on the Stockhouse website and thought it worthy of bringing to your attention as it is always good to see others writing about warrants besides myself. While I would take exception to one or two points in the article, basically it is a good article and useful to all investors.

Direct Link Article On Stockhouse

Warrants (“share purchase warrants”) are a financial instrument that can be an important tool for boosting investment returns. For novice investors, this begs the question: what is a warrant?

A warrant is a form of stock option that comes into existence most commonly via the private placement process (for further general details here, please see Private Placements 101). Typically, when a company offers a large block of shares to finance a private placement, participating investors also receive share purchase warrants as an incentive for participation in the financing.

The most common structure in these private placements is for ½ of a share purchase warrant to accompany each common share (each “unit”) purchased in the private placement. Occasionally, companies will offer a full warrant with each common share.

These share purchase warrants entitle the holder to acquire an additional common share at a fixed price (known as the execution price), for a fixed period of time. The way that investors can prosper from the acquisition of these warrants is simple. If the share price for the offering company rises above the execution price of the warrants, then investors can exercise these warrants (i.e. convert them into new common shares) at a price below which they can purchase the same shares on the open market.

The exercise price on warrants is almost always significantly higher than the unit price in the original financing. Thus, for investors to be able to capitalize on their warrants, the issuing company’s share price needs to rise high enough to exceed the exercise price. And this needs to occur prior to the expiration date of the warrants.

For this reason, investors should pay close attention to the “warrant life” (the length of time until expiry) of these share purchase warrants. “Long-life warrants” (those with a multi-year time horizon) obviously offer much greater potential for an investor to prosper because there is much more time for the share price of the issuing company to rise high enough for the warrants to be “in the money”.

However, this is not the only way for investors to acquire (and prosper from) warrants. With some larger financings where an enormous number of warrants come into existence (typically in the millions or tens of millions), the issuing company can choose to have their warrants listed on a stock exchange – and thus become tradeable just like common shares.

Here is where the leverage of warrants enters the picture for more sophisticated investors who are interested in buying warrants on the open market. A numerical example will exhibit how this leverage works.

Suppose Company A does a large financing. A total of 20 million new common shares come into existence, and along with those common shares are 10 million share purchase warrants. To make things simple, at the time of the financing, the unit price for common shares is $1 per share (with ½ share purchase warrant) and Company A is currently also trading on the market at $1 per share.

Company A sets the exercise price for the warrants at $1.50, with the warrants being valid for a period of two years from the date at which the financing closed. Obviously, with shares trading at $1.00, there is no incentive to list the warrants for trading as no one would be interested in acquiring these warrants when the share price is well below the exercise price.

Now suppose the share price for Company A quickly rises to $1.50 per share and Company A decides to list its warrants for public trading. Imagine you are an investor wanting to acquire a position in Company A at this time.

You now have two ways to acquire a position. You can choose the most common route of simply purchasing Company A’s common shares at the market price of $1.50 per share. Or, if you’re wanting to increase your leverage (and take on a higher level of risk), you might want to buy some of Company A’s warrants.

Note thatat $1.50 per share, Company A’s warrants will trade at a price substantially above zero. This reflects the speculative value/leverage potential of these warrants. For hypothetical purposes, assume that warrants can be purchased at $0.25 at this time.

If you buy shares, obviously you’re starting your investment even: your shares are trading at the purchase price. If you bought warrants instead, however, you would effectively start -$0.25 in the hole. This is because the share price would have to rise to $1.75 in order for a warrant investor to be able to break even by buying the warrant and then exercising it ($0.25 + $1.50 = $1.75).

Now let’s suppose that the share price rises to $2.00 per share. The investor who bought shares at $1.50 has made a 33% gain – not bad at all. But have a look at the warrant-holder who bought warrants at $0.25 and was originally down on his/her investment.

At $2.00 per share, the investor’s warrants are now clearly “in the money”. The investor can exercise those warrants (at the exercise price of $1.50) and still be ahead of the game versus simply purchasing more shares on the open market.
However, assuming the warrants still have significant life before expiry, this investor would probably do much better by selling those warrants on the open market. Consider.

If the warrants were trading at $0.25 when the share price was at $1.50 (a fairly normal premium), what will be the open market price for those warrants with the share price at $2.00? Obviously, the warrant price would likely be at least $0.75, meaning the warrant-holder could sell the warrants having tripled his/her investment, versus the 33% return from buying common shares.

In fact, at $2.00 per share Company A’s warrants would likely trade even higher than $0.75 reflecting a higher premium due to the much lower level of risk, since the warrants are already in the money.

The obvious risk in trading in warrants is if the share price of the offering company does not rise and the warrants never become profitable. This means that (unlike common shares) there is a much more substantial risk of warrants falling to zero than with respect to the shares of any publicly listed company.

For this reason, trading in warrants is an activity for more sophisticated investors. Investors not only need to carefully evaluate the fundamentals of issuing companies, they also need to be highly cognizant of the lifespan of the warrants and be confident in their assessment of future market conditions. It’s only when all factors are favorable that prudent investors will want to speculate in the trading of warrants.

Stocks No Bid – Gold No Offer

STOCKS NO BID – GOLD NO OFFER

July 25, 2019
by Egon von Greyerz


It is not difficult to understand Cassandra’s enormous frustration. She was given the gift of accurately predicting important events and her curse was that no one would believe her. Some of us are certain that we can now see the biggest bubbles in economic history coming to an end with totally devastating effects for the world. But like Cassandra, we are also cursed since more than 99.9% of the world’s population would not believe our predictions.

The problem is that this time it will not only involve the biggest wealth destruction in history but also lead to major problems in society with mass unemployment, no social security, no pensions, breakdown in law and order, social unrest, civil war and geopolitical conflict.

Reading these very dark predictions, I can understand that most people want to stick their head in the sand and ignore these dire forecasts.

Obviously I would also hope that all these predictions are false and won’t come to pass.

But as Winston Churchill said:

“THE TRUTH IS INCONTROVERTIBLE,
MALICE MAY ATTACK IT,
IGNORANCE MAY DERIDE IT,
BUT IN THE END THERE IT IS”

The problem is of course that the truth will often only be known after the event.

I wrote about Cassandra back in June 2017 and have over a very long period tried to warn anyone who is willing to listen about the risks and the events that will affect us all. We are obviously not alone in worrying about the magnitude of the problems in the world. Virtually everyone following KWN has similar views so here we are talking to a converted audience. But even when we speak to family, friends, business friends etc, we are met with the same degree of skepticism.

This is of course understandable since we are facing an event that occurs once a generation or once every hundred years. And the magnitude this time might even be a multi century cycle.

When the secular bull market turns down, the world will experience unprecedented market behaviour as asset bubbles burst. Investors will find that there are no buyers at any price. And for gold, there will be no sellers at any price:

Stocks – No bid
Bonds – No bid
Derivatives – No bid
Gold – No offer

STOCK COLLAPSE

What this means is that at some point during the down turn, stocks will fall precipitously with no buyers to be seen. Computer trading programmes accounting for 70-80% of volumes will issue massive sell orders and the price will just drop into a black hole since there will be no bid. The general investment public will naturally panic and sell at any price. But the problem is that there will be no market because there will be no buyers. This is how stocks quickly can drop 50% or more in a couple of days due to a total lack of liquidity and buyers.

As the Dow chart below shows, there is now a quadruple top, with weaker momentum or negative divergence for each top. This is extremely bearish and likely to lead to a major fall in coming weeks or months. The secular bull market in stocks is now coming to an end, leading to the biggest secular bear market in history.

BOND IMPLOSION

The Same will happen in the bond market. Investors will want to get out of government or corporate bonds which are unlikely to pay the interest and many will default. With no buyers, the bond market will collapse and bond rates will go to infinity. Rates above 50% might sound attractive but meaningless if neither interest nor capital will be paid. This will create total panic in credit markets as global debt of currently $250 trillion implodes. In the meantime central banks around the world will print additional $100s of trillion in a futile attempt to save the world.

THE END OF THE DERIVATIVES MARKET

But it will be the $1.5 quadrillion derivatives market that will totally kill financial markets. This is a totally false market that only works in bull markets when there is liquidity and counterparties pay up. In the coming implosion of asset values, there will be no liquidity and no buyers of worthless derivatives as counterparties default. In retrospect, this incredibly profitable activity for all the major investment banks will be judged as fraudulent with severe consequences for management and regulators as well as for the world.

Obviously, central banks will panic, print unlimited amounts of money, lower rates to zero or negative, stop trading in markets for extended periods, and manipulate markets in every possible fashion. But they and their governments will fail since they are totally bankrupt, having issued unlimited amount of debt that they can never repay.

THERE WILL BE NO GOLD OR SILVER AVAILABLE AT ANY PRICE

As panic in markets start and investors quickly turn from the stock market euphoria of the past to total fear, some investors will rush to buy wealth preservation assets. Some part of whatever liquidity they have left will go into precious metals, gold, silver and platinum. The only precious metal of size is gold and initially there will be gold available, albeit at much, much higher prices than today.

Initially there will be some willing sellers and gold will rise to multiples of the current price. But as the paper gold market collapses, there will be panic and at that point gold will go “no offer”.

No offer means that there is no gold offered at any price since there is no physical gold available to be bought. Eventually, there will probably be a price where some sellers are prepared to part with a small part of their gold but that price is likely to be at such a high level that it will be difficult to fathom today. Due to high inflation or hyperinflation, no gold seller is likely to accept paper money as payment but instead other assets, whether it will be property or commercial assets such as businesses.

GOLD CONFISCATION

There are a number of people who believe that governments will confiscate gold or ban gold trading. This is clearly possible and one should avoid holding gold in certain countries like the US or even the EU. This means that it is not advisable to store gold in those regions and nor to deal through precious metal companies that are based in the EU or the US even if the vaults are in other countries.

Also, it is important to only deal with countries with a long tradition of democracy and rule of law. Many off-shore locations, whether the vault or the arranging company is based there, should be avoided. We had very recently a client who wanted to ship a small part of his gold holding from Switzerland to Panama where he lives. When the gold arrived there, the customs agent said there was a new rule and that our client had to pay a fee of $30,000 on the total amount transferred of $150,000. That was a penalty or duty of 20% of the value the gold. Whether this was a bribe or a proper duty was never made clear. Nevertheless, we managed to ship the gold back to Switzerland and avoid the fee.

In my view, a country like Switzerland which has a long tradition in the gold industry and who refines 70% of all the gold bars in the world is very unlikely to ban or confiscate gold. Also, gold is 29% of Swiss exports which means that Switzerland is very unlikely to kill the goose that lays the golden egg.

PENSION FUNDS WILL BE MAJOR BUYERS OF GOLD

Another argument I hear is that governments are not going to allow individuals to earn major profits as gold goes to multiples of the current price. But we must remember that in the next couple of years, institutions, pension funds and investment funds are going to buy all the gold they can get hold of, at whatever price, as an inflation hedge. Governments are very unlikely to confiscate gold assets of pensioners and other private investors.

There is a much easier way for penalizing private investors who benefit from the coming increase in the gold price and that is of course taxation. The assets of the rich are likely to be heavily taxed in coming years and that is why tax planning is as important as investment planning.

If Cassandra is right and investment markets will implode in coming years, investors still have a very, very brief period to protect their wealth.

Global stocks are all in a position from which a major fall or crash can start at any time. Same with precious metals and precious metal stocks which are on the cusp of a massive bull market. It is likely that these major market moves will start in the early autumn of 2019, at the latest, and possibly earlier.

GOLD IS NOT AN INVESTMENT – IT IS INSURANCE AND MONEY

We must remember that gold is primarily not an investment although it will appreciate substantially in real terms. But gold is insurance, gold is money, gold is wealth preservation and gold is the only asset which is no one else’s liability.

Unfortunately, very few are aware of these important facts and will not be prepared for what is coming very soon.

Egon von Greyerz
Founder and Managing Partner
Matterhorn Asset Management
Zurich, Switzerland
Phone: +41 44 213 62 45

Matterhorn Asset Management’s global client base strategically stores an important part of their wealth in Switzerland in physical gold and silver outside the banking system. Matterhorn Asset Management is pleased to deliver a unique and exceptional service to our highly esteemed wealth preservation clientele in over 60 countries.

Next Financial Reset Crisis Scary Close

July 16, 2019
Chris Vermeulen
TheTechnicalTraders.com

Next Financial Reset Crisis Scary Close

Investors don't forget the great opportunities available with stock warrants which will increase your potential gains and greatly decrease your investment cost by at least half.

E.B. Tucker with Casey Research, recently referred to Dudley as 'the top expert in the field with over 40 years of experience' with stock warrants.

"I also encourage you to check out the work from our friend Dudley Baker. Dudley is the founder and editor of Common Stock Warrants. He’s been trading warrants for 40 years and has developed an exclusive database of all stock warrants trading in the U.S. and Canada. We’re paid-up subscribers as well."

 

Stock Warrants - Power Point Presentation

 

Jeff Baker
Senior Analyst - Admin/Web Developer
B.Sc. Geological Sciences (UTEP)
Common Stock Warrants & Junior Mining News

Financial Sector Paints A Clear Picture For Trading Profits

 

June 21, 2019
Chris Vermeulen
TheTechnicalTraders.com

Financial Sector Paints A Clear Picture For Trading Profits

Investors don't forget the great opportunities available with stock warrants:

 

Stock Warrants - Power Point Presentation