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Why Commodities Are Poised for Their Biggest Rally in 50 Years

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Justin’s note: Today, we hand the reins to Casey Research’s in-house commodities expert, David Forest, who says commodities are primed for an explosive bull run.

In fact, as you’ll see, this could be their biggest rally in 50 years… and now is the time to take advantage.

Read on to get all the details, including a “one-click” way to get exposure today.


By David Forest, editor, International Speculator

It’s the most important chart in the resource space today…

And it’s telling us that commodities are primed for their biggest rally of the last 50 years.

Why is this the best setup for commodities in half a century?

• Take a look below…

The chart I’m referring to tracks the S&P GSCI – which tracks prices for 24 commonly traded commodities – relative to the S&P 500. We’ve labeled a few important events on it…

When the blue line on the chart is rising, commodities are getting more expensive relative to the S&P 500 – a good proxy for the U.S. stock market. When the line is falling, commodities are getting cheaper relative to stocks.

As you can see, when commodities are at historic lows relative to stocks [green circles on the chart], it’s been a great time to buy.

For instance, two entry points for investors in the past were in 1971 – after we went off the gold standard – and in 1999, at the peak of the dot-com bubble. Between 1971 and 1974, the S&P GSCI rocketed 371% higher. And from 1999 to 2008, it shot up 454%.

• The opposite is true, too…

History shows you don’t want to be loading up on commodities when they’re expensive relative to stocks.

For instance, the S&P GSCI was at an extreme high relative to stocks [red circles on the chart] in 1990, at the peak of the Gulf Crisis, when Saddam Hussein’s army was rolling into neighboring Kuwait. That was a terrible time to be a commodities buyer. The S&P GSCI plunged 70% from the end of September 1990 to December 1998.

Another peak for commodities relative to stocks was in 2008, at the start of the global financial crisis. And again, that was a terrible time to buy commodities. From July 2008 to February 2009, the S&P GSCI experienced a 65% peak-to-trough fall.

• If past is prologue, that means commodities are primed for another explosive bull run…

Today, the ratio of the S&P GSCI to the S&P 500 is 0.91. The average ratio going back to 1970 is 3.9.

In other words, the commodities sector is currently 77% below its average price relationship with stocks over the past half-century. And it’s lower, on a relative basis, than it was ahead of the big commodities rallies in the early 1970s and the early 2000s.

Surprising video footage explains Feb. 4 prediction

During the investment summit, I asked E.B. Tucker why he told folks to circle Monday, February 4, on their calendars.

His answer surprised me… And I’m pretty sure it will surprise you too.

Because of the time-sensitive nature of E.B.’s prediction, this presentation will be deactivated tomorrow.

There are lots of other considerations when it comes to buying natural resources.

But if you filter out the noise… and just buy when commodities are historically cheap relative to stocks… you’ll do very well indeed.

An easy, “one-click” way to get exposure today is to buy the Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC).

It gives you exposure to the 14 most heavily traded commodities.

You only need to invest a little bit of money to take advantage of this historic setup.

Regards,

[signature]

David Forest
Editor, International Speculator

Why Commodities Are Poised for Their Biggest Rally in 50 Years

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Justin’s note: Today, we hand the reins to Casey Research’s in-house commodities expert, David Forest, who says commodities are primed for an explosive bull run.

In fact, as you’ll see, this could be their biggest rally in 50 years… and now is the time to take advantage.

Read on to get all the details, including a “one-click” way to get exposure today.


By David Forest, editor, International Speculator

It’s the most important chart in the resource space today…

And it’s telling us that commodities are primed for their biggest rally of the last 50 years.

Why is this the best setup for commodities in half a century?

• Take a look below…

The chart I’m referring to tracks the S&P GSCI – which tracks prices for 24 commonly traded commodities – relative to the S&P 500. We’ve labeled a few important events on it…

When the blue line on the chart is rising, commodities are getting more expensive relative to the S&P 500 – a good proxy for the U.S. stock market. When the line is falling, commodities are getting cheaper relative to stocks.

As you can see, when commodities are at historic lows relative to stocks [green circles on the chart], it’s been a great time to buy.

For instance, two entry points for investors in the past were in 1971 – after we went off the gold standard – and in 1999, at the peak of the dot-com bubble. Between 1971 and 1974, the S&P GSCI rocketed 371% higher. And from 1999 to 2008, it shot up 454%.

• The opposite is true, too…

History shows you don’t want to be loading up on commodities when they’re expensive relative to stocks.

For instance, the S&P GSCI was at an extreme high relative to stocks [red circles on the chart] in 1990, at the peak of the Gulf Crisis, when Saddam Hussein’s army was rolling into neighboring Kuwait. That was a terrible time to be a commodities buyer. The S&P GSCI plunged 70% from the end of September 1990 to December 1998.

Another peak for commodities relative to stocks was in 2008, at the start of the global financial crisis. And again, that was a terrible time to buy commodities. From July 2008 to February 2009, the S&P GSCI experienced a 65% peak-to-trough fall.

• If past is prologue, that means commodities are primed for another explosive bull run…

Today, the ratio of the S&P GSCI to the S&P 500 is 0.91. The average ratio going back to 1970 is 3.9.

In other words, the commodities sector is currently 77% below its average price relationship with stocks over the past half-century. And it’s lower, on a relative basis, than it was ahead of the big commodities rallies in the early 1970s and the early 2000s.

Surprising video footage explains Feb. 4 prediction

During the investment summit, I asked E.B. Tucker why he told folks to circle Monday, February 4, on their calendars.

His answer surprised me… And I’m pretty sure it will surprise you too.

Because of the time-sensitive nature of E.B.’s prediction, this presentation will be deactivated tomorrow.

There are lots of other considerations when it comes to buying natural resources.

But if you filter out the noise… and just buy when commodities are historically cheap relative to stocks… you’ll do very well indeed.

An easy, “one-click” way to get exposure today is to buy the Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC).

It gives you exposure to the 14 most heavily traded commodities.

You only need to invest a little bit of money to take advantage of this historic setup.

Regards,

[signature]

David Forest
Editor, International Speculator

Get Ready For The Next Big Upside Leg In Metals And Miners

February 1, 2019 Chris Vermeulen     We recently closed our GDXJ trade for a 10.5% total profit with our members.  We are preparing for a lower price rotation over the next 45+ days that will allow us to plan for new long.  Our research indicates the metals/miners should enter a downside price rotation over the next 45+ days as the US stock markets continue to rally.  Give this expectation, it is important to understand how we are timing this move for our members and attempting to take advantage of strategic trade deployment. With Gold recently breaking above $1300, many analysts have been calling for a continued breakout move to the upside as well as a massive market correction in the US stock market.  We’ve been calling for just the opposite to happen – a pause in the metals/miners near this $1300~1320 level. If our analysis is correct, a renewed … Continue reading

Get Ready For The Next Big Upside Leg In Metals And Miners

We recently closed our GDXJ trade for a 10.5% total profit with our members.  We are preparing for a lower price rotation over the next 45+ days that will allow us to plan for new long.  Our research indicates the metals/miners should enter a downside price rotation over the next 45+ days as the US stock markets continue to rally.  Give this expectation, it is important to understand how we are timing this move for our members and attempting to take advantage of strategic trade deployment.

With Gold recently breaking above $1300, many analysts have been calling for a continued breakout move to the upside as well as a massive market correction in the US stock market.  We’ve been calling for just the opposite to happen – a pause in the metals/miners near this $1300~1320 level.

If our analysis is correct, a renewed capital shift will continue to unfold over the next 30~45 days where foreign capital will move into the US stock market (including technology, financial, medical/biotech, blue chips, mid-caps, and others) as global investors chase the safety and returns of the US Dollar and the US stock market.  This process of deploying capital into the US stock market will relieve upside pressure in the metals/miners for a brief period of time – resulting in a price pullback.  Our expectations are that the GDXJ price will rotate back below $31 and likely target a support level near $30.50~30.65.  This is near where we intend to look for new Long entry trades.

 

ADLC – ADVANCED DYNAMIC PRICE CYCLE PROJECTION

 

 

ADLC – ADVANCED DYNAMIC LEARNING PREDICTION PROJECTION

 

WEEKLY LONGER TERM VIEW OF PROJECTION

 

The opportunity of the next leg higher in the metals/miners is exciting.  Take a look at this Weekly GDXJ chart showing the upside price targets near $42 and $45.  These represent a 37% to 47% upside price objective once this rotation completes as we expect.

In short, if you want to gain access to our proprietary price modeling systems, a dedicated research team, daily video analysis, and help you find and execute better trades, then please visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com.  If you want to know how and when we are trading these markets to help our members, then consider becoming a member and enjoying all the benefits we offer our subscribers.  This is going to be an incredible year for skilled traders who can move around and trade the hot pockets of stocks and commodities.

Chris Vermeulen

American Manganese Inc. Pilot Plant Arrives at Kemetco Testing Facility


January 18, 2018
Press Release
J

Documentation and Fees Submitted for Formal Patent Issuance

Discussions with the U.S. Department of Energy and Defense

Larry W. Reaugh, President and Chief Executive Officer of American Manganese Inc. (“American Manganese” or “AMY” or the “Company”), is pleased to announce that Stages 1 and 2 of the Pilot Plant have arrived at the Kemetco Research facility in Richmond, Canada. Kemetco has begun configuration and commissioning in preparation for the processing of one metric tonne of pre-production cathode scrap material (500kg of NMC and 500kg of NCA). The Company continues to believe cathode scrap recycling represents a compelling near-term opportunity for its shareholders as well as for industry participants including lithium-ion battery manufacturers.

Additionally, the Company has completed documentation and submitted fees for the formal issuance of its U.S. Patent.  AMY expects to be issued a formal patent number within the next few weeks for its method of achieving 100% recovery of cobalt, nickel, manganese, lithium, and aluminum from lithium-ion battery cathode materials.

“As we begin our Pilot Plant testing, we are thrilled to see that the U.S. Department of Energy recognizes the importance of lithium-ion battery recycling technology”, said Mr. Reaugh. “We continue to hold discussions with the U.S. Department of Energy for our recycling technology as well as the U.S. Department of Defense for our initial patented process of low-grade manganese ore recovery – one of the 23 critical minerals listed in the U.S. Executive Order.”

About Kemetco Research Inc.
Kemetco Research is a private sector integrated science, technology and innovation company. Their Contract Sciences operation provides laboratory analysis and testing, field work, bench scale studies, pilot plant investigations, consulting services, applied research and development for both industry and government. Their clients range from start-up companies developing new technologies through to large multinational corporations with proven processes.

Kemetco provides scientific expertise in the fields of Specialty Analytical Chemistry, Chemical Process and Extractive Metallurgy. Because Kemetco carries out research in many different fields, it can offer a broader range of backgrounds and expertise than most laboratories.

About American Manganese Inc.
American Manganese Inc. is a critical metal company with a patent approved process for the recovery of metals from lithium-ion batteries such as cobalt, lithium, nickel, manganese, and aluminum. Using a novel combination of reagents and unit operations, AMY can provide 100% extraction of cathode metals at battery grade purity. American Manganese Inc. aims to capitalize on its patent approved technology and proprietary know-how to become the industry leader in recycling spent electric vehicle lithium-ion batteries (Please see the Company’s Dec 14, 2018 Business Plan (“CBP”) for further details).

On behalf of Management

AMERICAN MANGANESE INC.

Larry W. Reaugh
President and Chief Executive Officer

This Weeks First Trade Setup

It’s hard not to get excited when we kick start the week with a winning trade within the first 2 hours of trading. Our proprietary price spike trading strategy that has generated 6 winning trades before the opening bell for the last 6 days in a row.

 

Also, what is really exciting is that we have had 5 winning Gap Window Trades in the past 6 days as well. that’s 11 winning trades in 6 days and no losing trades!

RECENT MEMBER COMMENT

These daily emails have helped immensely.
This is the best and most practical service I’ve used in the 6 years I’ve been trading.

Thanks, Ben
Jan 14th 2019

 

Housekeeping Notes: Please note we are in the process of upgrading this trading newsletter to become a full trading suite for long-term investors, swing traders, and day traders complete with our live updating trading charts, analysis, and signals.  The trades in our portfolio only represent ETF swing trades and not our price spike, gap window, or cycles based trade setups, but all trades will start to be posted and tracked in their own areas of the site once we complete these upgrades for you.

Over the next 30-60 days, there will be incredible value added to the service which you will not find anywhere else. The analysis, tools, and trade setups will improve the way you see the markets and trade no matter what time frame your focus is on (investor or active trader). Exciting stuff and let us know what you think would be valuable for us to improve on and add to the member’s area for you.

GET OUR TRADE ALERTS TODAY – CLICK HERE

Chris Vermeulen

What A Joke – Pretivm Initiates Inquiry Into Trading Of Its Shares


PRETIVM INITIATES INQUIRY INTO TRADING OF ITS SHARES

 

 

 

January 11, 2019
Dudley Pierce Baker
Founder – Editor
http://JuniorMiningNews.com
http://CommonStockWarrants.com

Today I saw this press release from Pretium Resources

01/10/2019

VANCOUVER, British Columbia, Jan. 10, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Pretium Resources Inc. (TSX/NYSE:PVG) (“Pretivm” or the “Company”) reports that it has retained independent legal counsel to initiate an investigation of unusual trading activity in its shares.

About Pretivm

Pretivm is a low-cost intermediate gold producer with the high-grade underground Brucejack Mine in northern British Columbia

For further information contact:
Joseph Ovsenek                    Troy Shultz
President & CEO                    Manager, Investor Relations & Corporate Communications

Pretium Resources Inc.
Suite 2300, Four Bentall Centre, 1055 Dunsmuir Street
PO Box 49334 Vancouver, BC V7X 1L4
(604) 558-1784
invest@pretivm.com
(SEDAR filings: Pretium Resources Inc.)

_________________________________________________________________________

So, what is really going on?

This is not rocket science. Insiders (officers and directors) have been selling shares in PVG from May 17, 2018 through December 24, 2018.

8 insiders, all sellers in the open market have reported to authorities and via my subscription to INKResearch.com, I see it all.

Perhaps PVG does not need an attorney to investigate trading activity, just ask their own officers and directors why ‘they’ are selling.

Total shares valued at C$9,178,605 have been sold from May 17 – Dec 24, 2018.

Sellers are:
Ovsenek J.J.        –  President & CEO
Smith, D.               – Director
Paspalas, G.N.      – Lead Director
McNaughton, K.C. – VP & Chief Exploration Officer
Vip, T.                     – Executive, VP & CFO
Romero, M.A.         – Executive VP and Corporate Affairs & Sustainability
Quartermain, R.A.  – Executive Chairman
Board, W.               – VP, Geology & Chief Geologist

From my personal experience, when 1 or 2 insiders are selling, I don’t get too alarmed. But, when you have 8 insiders selling as in this situation, well, to me, something is going on (news) that has not yet been reported by the company. (Only time will tell)

I have never personally owned shares in PVG and do not have a short position, but I keep my eyes are hundreds of companies and the insider activity. I saw this selling going on a couple of months ago and thought about an article at that time. But with today’s press release I just had to do something.

Interesting to me that the press release above, stated for additional information contact,
Joseph Ovsenek, President & CEO.

Mr. Ovsenek is one of the insiders selling a total of 160,175 shares.

 I have always enjoyed following the insider trading activity on all of my personal positions and other high profile companies, like PVG.

Many times, insider buying can alert us to great opportunities and in this situation, insider selling at a minimum, must be a big caution flag, if not, an out right sell signal.

I am sure this article will get a lot of views and responses, but folks, it is what it is and I am only the messenger.

If you would like to know more about my services, visit the links above.

Stay alert…..

     

The #1 Reason Silver & Silver Stocks Will Explode Higher in 2019

Photo: The #1 Reason Silver & Silver Stocks Will Explode Higher in 2019

VRIC 2019 Featured Speaker: Jeff Clark

The world is filled with toppy markets, financial bubbles, and bloated debt levels in virtually every segment of society. And it’s all taken place within a global monetary system where, for the first known time in history, all currencies are fiat.

This financial and monetary cocktail has pushed risks high, and not for just investors but citizens. It’s crucial that gold and silver comprise a meaningful portion of one’s asset base. Given the nature of similar crises in the past, they will not only preserve purchasing power but are likely to lead to extraordinary capital gains.

And of the two metals, silver has the most explosive potential.

Why it’s Important: There are many reasons why silver tends to outperform gold. But there’s one major factor that is set to make the silver price scream higher in the next bull market. I’ll point it out in my talk, “The Silver Slam-a-Rama: The #1 Reason Silver & Silver Stocks Will Explode Higher.”

The investment opportunity: In a soaring metals environment, silver equities have the potential to provide extraordinary gains, especially coming from such a historically low undervaluation. And some silver stocks are set to rise the most.

Don’t Miss Out: This is an incredible time to come catch Jeff Clark at The World’s Largest Resource Investment Conference that happens only once a year. Register for VRIC before it’s too late.

Silver Starts A Breakout Move Higher

SILVER STARTS A BREAKOUT MOVE HIGHER

Watch Silver, folks. This quiet shiny metal is starting a move that could be very foretelling of global market concerns and risks. Early on December 26, 2018, Silver broke through recent resistance, to the upside, with a relatively large 2.8%+ upside move. Why is this so important to traders? Because Silver is the “sleeper metal” that is typically the last to react to global economic concerns. Once Silver starts to move to the upside with a renewed bullish trend, we believe this move would indicate that bigger players are starting to accumulate Silver as a safe haven for future economic concerns/crisis events.

This Daily chart of Silver shows the December 26 upside breakout move. We can clearly see the breakout above $15.00 and the historical resistance just below $15.00. This move is extremely important in the context of the total risk play that has recently played out through the past two months. Take a look as how quiet the Silver market has been over the past few months. Take a look at how Silver reacted only moderately to the recent market selloff and Fed statements. There was no real “fear” exhibited in the metals markets or in Silver over the past 60+ days. Yet, today, there is some real fear that is playing out in the price of Silver.

This next Weekly Silver chart helps us to understand the total scope of this move and what we could expect to see as an immediate upside price target. Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price modeling system is suggesting that $16.00 is an immediate upside price target and is showing us the current trend is bullish and that price volatility is increasing. Overall, we could see a move well above $17.00 on an extended run in the metals.

Watch how this “sleeper metal” plays out over the next few weeks and months. This upside breakout is very important to investors for the simple reason that it indicates a renewed level of “fear” is entering the markets and we could be starting a very big upside move in the metals markets again. The last time Silver entered a massive bullish phase it shot up over 400%. If a similar move happens again in the near future, Silver could reach a price level near $60~65 per ounce.

Want to know how to position your investments to take advantage of these types of moves and learn how to capture greater opportunities in the markets? 2019 is setting up to be an incredible year for traders with the skills and insight to find and execute these types of trades. We have already been positioning our members for this move and we believe 2019 will provide incredible opportunities for all skilled traders. Take a minute to visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we can help you in 2019 and join our other members in finding greater success.

Chris Vermeulen

Hugh Discounts For The Holiday Season

Gold, silver, uranium and perhaps base metals are expected by many experts and analysts, to be poised for a good, if not, great 2019.

With that premise, I want you to be able to access my services and take advantage of some great discounts for the Holiday Season only.

There are many great opportunities with gold, silver, uranium companies, etc., selling on the cheap right now, many of which could be 10 baggers or more.

If you can find companies that you like and that have long-term stock warrants trading that would be better yet giving you even more upside leverage.

Some of you receiving this email have been previous subscribers to my services and I understand your previous frustration.

But the times are a changing and it is time to being positioned to capitalize on the next big up move in the resource sector.

In my personal portfolio which is viewable by my Gold and Lifetime Subscribers you can see all of my positions, whether common shares or stock warrants giving you some ideas for your own investments.

I am prepared to offer you a 50% discount off of my services (except for my Lifetime and Platinum Subscriptions) which are already a great deal at current prices.

If interested you must enter the discount code when signing up:

Discount Codegold

The discount will be calculated automatically for you upon signup.

While on my website, don’t forget to get your Free copy of “The Stock Warrant Handbook, Your Personal Guide To Trading Stock Warrants”)

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays from our team,

 

 

 

Dudley Pierce Baker
Editor – Founder (2005)
http://CommonStockWarrants.com 
http://JuniorMiningNews.com