April 16, 2019
April 22, 2019
Investors don't forget the great opportunities available with stock warrants:
A very interesting price pattern is setting up in the financial sector that could lead to a very big move in the US & Global markets. Remember how in 2008-09, the Financial sector and Insurance sector were some of the biggest hit stock sectors to prompt a global market crisis? Well, the next few weeks and months for the financial sector are setting up to be critical for our future expectations of the US stock market and global economy.
Right now, many of the financial sector stocks are poised near an upper price channel that must be breached/broken before any further upside http:/price advance can take place. The current trend has been bullish as prices have rallied off the December 2018 lows. Yet, we are acutely aware of the bigger price channels that could become critical to our future decision making. If there is any price weakness near these upper price channel levels and any downside price rotation, the downside potential for the price is massive and could lead to bigger concerns.
Let’s start off by taking a look at these Monthly charts…
This first Monthly Bank Of America chart is best at showing the price channel (in YELLOW) as well as a key Fibonacci price level (highlighted by the MAGENTA line). We’ve also highlighted a price zone with a green shaded box that we believe is key support/resistance for the current price trend.
As you can see from this chart, since early February 2018, the overall trend has shifted into a sideways bearish trend. The price recovery from December 2018 was impressive, yes, but it is still rotating within this sideways/bearish price channel. Our belief is that this YELLOW upper price channel level MUST be broken in order for the price to continue higher at this point. Any failure to accomplish this will result in a price reversal that could precipitate a 30% price decline in the value of BAC. In other words, “it is do-or-die time – again”.
This Monthly JPM chart shows a similar pattern, yet the price channel is a bit more narrow visually. We have almost the same setup in JPM as we do in BAC. The same channels, the same type of Fibonacci price support level, the same type of sideways price support zone (the shaded box) and the same overall setup. As traders, we have to watch for these types of setup and be aware of the risks that could unfold with a collapse of the financial sector over the next few weeks.
We believe the next few weeks could be critical for the financial sector and for the overall markets. If weakness hits the financial sector as global growth continues to stagnate we could enter a period where the global perception of the future 12~24 months may change. Right now, perception has been relatively optimistic in the global stock markets. Most traders have been optimistic that the markets will recover and a US/China trade deal will get settled. The biggest concern has been the EU and the growth of the European countries.
What if that suddenly changed?
We are not saying it will or that we know anything special about this setup. We are just suggesting that the Monthly charts, above, are suggesting that price will either break above this upper price channel or fail to break this level and move lower. We are suggesting that, as skilled traders, we need to be acutely aware of the risks within the financial sector right now and prepare for either outcome.
This last chart, a Weekly FAS chart, shows a more detailed view of this same price rotation and sideways expanding wedge/channel formation. Pay very close attention to the shaded support channel shown with the GREEN BOX on this chart. Any price rotation within this level should be considered “within a support channel” and not a real risk initially. We want to see price break above the upper price channel fairly quickly, within the next 2 to 5+ weeks, and we can to see it establish a new high (above $78 on this chart) to confirm a new bullish price trend. Once this happens, we’ll be watching for further price rotation and setups. If it fails to happen, then the RED DOWN ARROW is the most likely outcome given the current price setup.
Any downside price move in the Financial sector would have to be associated with some decreased future expectations by investors. Thus, our bigger concern is that something is lurking just below the surface right now that could pull the floor out from under this sector. Is it a surprise Fed rate increase? Is it some news from the EU? Is it a sudden increase in credit defaults? What is the “other shoe” – so to say.
Be prepared. If all goes well, then we’ll know within a few more weeks if the upside price rally will continue or if we need to start digging for clues as to why the support for the financial sector is eroding. This really is a “do or die” setup in the financial sector and we urge all traders to pay very close attention to this sector going forward. We believe it will be the leading sector for any major price weakness across the global markets.
Do you want to find a team of dedicated researchers and traders that can help you find and execute better trades in 2019 and beyond? Please visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we can help you prepare for the big moves in the global markets and find better opportunities for greater success in the future. Our team of researchers and traders continue to scan the markets for new trades and incredible research for all our members and followers.
Our researchers, at Technical Traders Ltd., believe this current upside price move is nearing the end of any immediate upside potential. Yes, back in December 2018 and before, we called for an “Ultimate Low” pattern setup followed by an incredible run to new all-time highs when almost everyone else was calling for a continued downside price move. Now, that the YM/DOW is only 640 points away from reaching all-time highs again, we believe a new price peak will setup sometime near June/July 2019.
Our researchers believe the continued upside price bias will stay in place for at least another 30 days and that the YM.DOW will establish new higher all-time highs in late April or early May 2019. We believe once a “scouting party” type price move completes above the all-time highs near $27,000, a sideways price rotation will begin that may last as long as 25 to 55 days. Our predictive modeling systems are suggesting that June/July are important months for the global equities/stock markets and we believe we’ll know more about the setups that will prompt bigger moves as we get closer to these dates.
Right now, our researchers are suggesting the upside move in the YM/DOW is likely to push higher by +2.5 to +3% or slightly more. Once the $27,000 level is breached to the upside, traders should begin to become much more cautious of price rotation and volatility. As we head into June/July/August 2019, be prepared for a spike in volatility/VIX as price rotation is likely to become much more aggressive.
Read our most recent research to learn more about what we believe will happen over the next few months. Get ready for some bigger price swings and prepare for the last bit of upside price trending before a price peak sets up near June/July. Ultimately, we believe there is an opportunity for skilled traders that can see and create opportunity from these moves. We’ve been warning that 2019 is going to be an incredible year for skilled traders – our call near the end of 2018 that this move higher would target new all-time highs is proof of the opportunity that exists if you pay attention to our research. Do you know of any other firm that called this move as accurately as we did?
On September 17, 2018 our Predictive Trading Model Suggests Falling Stock Prices During US Elections.
Please visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn more about how we help our members learn to find and execute incredible trading opportunities. We’ve recently launched a new technology solution for our members that delivers our incredible research and trading solutions. 2019 is going to continue to be an incredible year for skilled traders – you won’t want to miss these big moves that are setting up.
As we’ve been suggesting for months, expect continued moderate price weakness in Gold and Silver through most of April 2019 and possibly into early May 2019 before a strong price rally will setup and push Gold prices well above $1500 before the end of 2019. Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive price modeling system has been calling for this move for many months (see the chart below). This advanced predictive price modeling system is suggesting that in May/June of 2019, we will likely see a bigger price rally unfold in Gold and Silver which may be paired with some type of geopolitical or global economic event. See this article for more details.
Gold rallies on fear (in most cases) and the only reason for Gold to really as our ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting is that some renewed level of fear could enter the global markets. This could be from any type of global crisis event or even a regional crisis event (think Brexit, EU crisis or some other foreign nation crisis). We believe skilled traders should be actively seeking to identify buying opportunities below $1295 in Gold as we only have about 20 days left before our original bottom/base date of April 21, 2019.
This Gold Monthly chart, below, highlights the ADL predictive modeling systems expectations as well as the three support levels that we believe all Gold traders should be targeting. Gold is currently within the first target level and an opportunity to buy below $1295 would be an excellent starting position. Further, any additional opportunity to buy below $1250 should be an incredible opportunity – if it happens. Lastly, our lowest support level is below $1165. Although unlikely, if Gold retraces to below this level, then please don’t miss this opportunity to get into additional long positions.
Our ADL predictive price modeling system is suggesting that May & June 2019 will start a bullish price rally in Gold and Silver that should push prices well above $1500 by October/November 2019 – possibly much higher. Overall, we believe this could be the beginning of a much bigger upside leg in Precious metals and all traders need to be aware of this future price move.
We’ve been suggesting this could be the “move of a lifetime” setting up in the metals because it will likely pair or align with some type of broader global stock market move to the downside. Our opinion is that May/June are dates that all traders should consider developing very protective positions as the markets shake up and Gold begins this incredible run higher.
Take a minute to visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we help our members find and execute better trades while keeping them aware of market trends, cycles and key insights using our proprietary predictive price modeling utilities. We are certain you will find our research above and beyond anything else you’ve seen anywhere on the planet. Please consider joining our other hundreds of members in developing better skills and finding incredible opportunities for future success while trading with www.TheTechnicalTraders.com.
Our researchers have been glued to Gold, Silver and the Precious Metals sector for many months. We believe the current setup in Gold is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for skilled traders to stake positions below $1300 before a potentially incredible upside price move. We’ve been alerting our members and follower to this opportunity since well before the October/December 2018 downside price rotation in the US markets.
October 5, 2018: Prepare for a gold and silver rally
December 9, 2018: Waiting for gold to erupt
Jan 25, 2018: Why everyone is talking about gold and silver
Additionally, our researchers called the bottom in the US equities markets and warned of an incredible upside price rotation setting up just before the actual price bottom occurred on December 24, 2018.
December 26, 2018: Has the equities selloff reached a bottom yet
Our research continues to suggest that Gold and Silver will rotate within a fairly narrow range over the next 3~5 weeks before setting up a likely price bottom near April 21, 2019. We’ve been predicting this bottom formation for many months and have been warning our followers to prepare for this move and grab opportunities below $1300 when they set up.
This first chart, a Monthly chart showing our TT Charger price modeling system, clearly illustrates the strength of this bullish price trend and the initiation of this trend back in early 2016. One of the strengths of the TT Charger modeling system is that it establishes a number of key price data points and trend factors. The background color highlighted ranges show price range breadth and range expansion or contraction. The dual channel facets show where price is likely to find support and resistance. The DOT LEVELS show where critical support or resistance is in terms of the overall trend channels.
Right now, we are still in a bullish trend with key support near $1165. The Dual Channel system is showing the $1260 to $1285 level is currently the most likely active support levels just below current price. Thus, we could see a move to near these levels over the next 3+ weeks and I would suggest skilled traders jump on this opportunity. The Range system is showing a current $250~350 price range, thus, any upside price breakout could easily rally within this range and push prices at least $250+ higher than current levels – likely well above $1550. If range expansion sets up, we could see prices well above $1750.
We’ve authored hundreds of research posts over the past 12+ months and the one thing that we continue to mention is that Fibonacci price theory continues to operate on the premise that “price must always attempt to find and establish new price highs or lows – at all times”. Please keep this in mind as we continue.
Take a look at the TT Charger chart, above, and the raw Monthly price chart, below. Price must always attempt to find and establish new price highs or lows – so where is price going based on the most recent price rotations? Let’s review…
After rallying in early 2016 to establish a price high of $1377.50, gold immediately rotated downward to establish a higher low near $1124.50. The $1377.50 high price was a “new price high” in terms of previous rotational highs while the $1124.50 low was a higher low price rotation point. Thus, a failed “new price low”.
Since these two price points, Gold has settled into a sideways price channel where new price highs and lows have been attempted, but have failed to breakout out of the existing previous high and low price levels. As a technician of price, we can immediately identify this as a possible “Pennant or Flag” formation. With the last “new price level” being a “new price high” we still believe that Gold will attempt to break above the recent high price levels and attempt a much bigger upside price swing.
Our analysis suggests the April 21 date as a critical date for the potential price bottom in Gold and Silver. Our belief is that this date will like result in a near-term momentum bottom in price. Where price may fall, briefly, below $1290 and rotate into a “washout low” price rotation. The opportunity for this move could come 3~5 days before or after the April 21 date.
This last chart, a Monthly price chart, illustrating the Pennant/Flag formation in Gold should be the clearest example we can provide that Gold will soon break out to the upside and rally extensively higher if our research and analysis are correct. The momentum that has built up over the past 2+ years, as well as the global demand for Gold by central banks and by investors as a hedging instrument, could prompt Gold and Silver to rally at least 50~60% in this first upside breakout wave – resulting in $1900 gold prices. Silver could rally to well above $18~19 in a similar move and the number our researchers believe may become the upside target in Silver is $21.
This big picture chart and technical pattern could still take months to unfold if the price is to test the lower end of the trading range at $1225. If our analysis is correct, Gold and Silver could begin an upside price breakout shortly after April 21 (very likely to become evident in early May 2019). The upside potential for this move is at least $1550 in Gold and at least $18 in Silver.
Please understand that any upside breakout in Gold and Silver will likely be associated with general global market weakness including the potential for some type of global crisis event. This could be related to the EU, BREXIT, China, France or any other nation burdened by debt, dealing with election turmoil or related to social or economic angst. We could almost throw a dart at a map of the globe and hit some area that is poised for some type of economic crisis.
Our last buy signal for gold and gold miners was in Sept 2018 and subscribers and our team profited from that $100 gold rally. This next opportunity here is to understand that we only have about 20~25 days to search out and isolate the best entry prices we can find in Gold and Silver before our April 21 momentum bottom date hits. This means we need to prepare for this upside breakout move in Precious Metals and prepare our other open positions for the possibility of extended downside pricing concerns. If you read our continued research posts, you’ll understand that we believe the US stock market will rotate a bit lower prior to this April 21 date and rally as well.
We believe the US equities markets will become a safe-haven, like Gold, where foreign investors can balance the strength of the US Dollar with the strong US economy and continued equity price appreciation while more fragile nations deal with economic crisis events and debt concerns. Thus, we believe capital will flood the US markets after April 21 as evidence of these economic concerns drives foreign investors into US equities.
Take a minute to find out why Technical Traders Ltd. is quickly becoming one of the best research and trading services you can find anywhere on the planet. We are about to launch a new technology product to assist our members and we continue to deliver incredible research posts, like this one, where we can highlight our proprietary price modeling systems and adaptive learning solutions. If you want to stay ahead of these markets moves and find greater success in 2019 and beyond Join Our Wealth Trading Newsletter Today.
It was another interesting Fed meeting and statement that caused some serious volatility in the markets to end the week. No doubt a risk off trade has developed as yields fell hard around the world. Be sure to go back through the week and listen to some of the daily editorials posted post-Fed. There’s a lot of good information.