Why Four Experts Like this Small Cap Oklahoma STACK Play

Stacked formations

Source: Streetwise Reports 07/31/2018

The STACK oil and gas play in Oklahoma has caught the attention of the world’s largest energy company, among many other large-cap producers, but investors can also find opportunity with a small-cap active in the area.

While oil plays like the Permian Basin and the Bakken Formation have been garnering a lot of attention, the lesser-known STACK play is coming into focus. Located in Oklahoma’s Anadarko Basin, STACK stands for “Sooner Trend, Anadarko (basin), Canadian and Kingfisher (counties),” and refers to a geographic area rather than a geological formation.

STACK is aptly named because in the area, geological formations are stacked on top of each other, as many as four or more distinct formations, such as the Meramec, Osage, Oswego and Woodford formations, each with its own geological characteristics. Until late last year, Oklahoma allowed lateral wells greater than 1 mile in length only in the Meramec shales, but that changed last fall, when the restriction was lifted, allowing long lateral drilling in all formations.

Lured by factors such as lower costs than in better known areas such as the Permian Basin and by a hydrocarbon friendly regulatory environment in Oklahoma, the STACK has attracted the attention of oil and gas producers of all sizes, including the behemoth ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM:NYSE), moderately sized Alta Mesa Resources Inc. (AMR:NASDAQ) and small-cap Jericho Oil Corp. (JCO:TSX.V; JROOF:OTC). The STACK offers the added benefit of not having distribution capacity constrained, an issue plaguing the Permian Basin right now.

“Jericho has 175 more drill locations just for the STACK. I love this company.” – Bob Moriarty, 321 Energy

ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM:NYSE), through its XTO Energy subsidiary, has just filed to drill two extended laterals in the STACK, in Major County, targeting the Osage formation.

Alta Mesa Resources Inc. (AMR:NASDAQ), a public company created earlier this year by the merger of Alta Mesa Holdings LP with Kingfisher Midstream LLC, focuses on the development of unconventional oil and gas reserves in the STACK. The company has increased its land holdings significantly over the past few years. In 2014 the company held about 40,000 net acres; today it has more than 130,000 net acres. Alta Mesa has identified more than 4,000 horizontal drilling locations and has drilled more than 150 horizontal wells so far, finding high grade results in the Osage formation. The company notes that the “STACK is among the lowest cost basins in the U.S. with asset quality comparable to the Permian.”

But not all players in the STACK have market caps in the billions. With a market cap of around CA$75 million, Jericho Oil Corp. (JCO:TSX.V; JROOF:OTC) is one of the few publicly traded small-cap companies in the STACK. Small-cap stocks can provide higher returns than larger-cap stocks, as well as greater risk, according to historical data by Ibbotson Associates.

Jericho is surrounded by majors in the field. In addition to ExxonMobil and Alta Mesa, Jericho’s neighbors include Newfield Exploration Co. (NFX:NYSE), Continental Resources Inc. (CLR:NYSE), Devon Energy Corp. (DVN:NYSE), Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK:NYSE), Gastar Exploration Ltd. (GST:NYSE) and Marathon Oil Corp. (MRO:NYSE).

STACK Acreage Map

Jericho, through its Oklahoma STACK Joint Venture, has rights to nearly 16,000 net acres in the STACK and a total of 55,000 net acres across Oklahoma. The firm recently announced that it has brought online a successful test well of the Osage formation; the STACK JV has a 47.5% working interest in the well. This is the company’s second test well; the initial well tested the Meramec formation.

“Things appear to be heating up in Oklahoma, and Jericho Oil appears to be in the pole position through its stake in the STACK JV.” – Thibaut Lepouttre, Caesars Report

This second well, Swordspear 23-10-15 H, is located at the border of Major and Alfalfa counties in the northern portion of the STACK. The company reported that after 30 days on an electrical submersible pump, the well is producing an average rate of 400 oil-equivalent barrels (BOE) per day, consisting of 61% oil. According to Jericho Oil, “Osage formation wells commonly take 60-120 days from the start of first oil to reach peak initial production.” The company also noted that it it encouraged by “elevated bottom hole pressure on the producing wellbore relative to expectations, often a key determinant for higher producing rates over time.” The most recent daily production reading is over 500 oil-equivalent barrels per day. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, in 2016 only 0.7% of the wells in Oklahoma produced more than 400 BOE per day.

The high oil to gas content of the well is another positive development. Brian Williamson, CEO of Jericho Oil, told Streetwise Reports, “The high oil cut is important both from an economic standpoint (one barrel of oil has the energy equivalent of 6 Mcf of gas; oil is ~$65/barrel, gas is $3/Mcf, so gas would need to have a price of nearly $11/Mcf to have the same energy value) and from an overall area standpoint. Lower gas-to-oil ratio wells are much easier and less expensive typically to operate. Gas prices are very depressed and the amount of available gas in the various high use markets (i.e., Marcellus, Utica) seems to be positioned to keep gas at or below $3/Mcf for the foreseeable future.”

The company also noted that “current ultimate recovery projections place the potential rate of return at greater than 50% (assuming $65bbl/ $3 Mcf and $5mm Completed Well Cost).”

“Look for this tiny driller to capitalize on more successful drilling results as crude prices try to find support above $70 per barrel.” – Keith Kohl, Energy & Capital

CEO Williamson stated, “We are incredibly encouraged with the early results of the Swordspear, successfully testing the Osage, proving the extent, both geographically and …read more

From:: The Energy Report