By Eric Reguly
The Global and Mail
After almost two decades of false starts and a running battle with some of the savviest environmental groups on the planet, it’s make-or-break time for Europe’s biggest and most politically sensitive gold project. In early November, the Romanian government will, like a Roman emperor at a gladiator fight, give the thumbs up or thumbs down to Gabriel Resources Ltd.’s $1.4-billion (U.S.) Rosia Montana mine in Dracula’s legendary homeland, Transylvania.
The vote could go either way, though the share price says the odds are against the Toronto-listed company. Gabriel’s stock collapsed early last month, falling from $1.47 (Canadian) to as low as 41 cents, when Romanian Prime Minister Victor Ponta said parliament would likely reject a draft mining law that would allow the project to go ahead. (It’s now at 93 cents.) Gabriel’s response was to threaten the government with a $4-billion (U.S.) lawsuit if the law were to die. That threat still stands. Rosia Montana’s future lies in the hands of lawmakers and lawyers, not engineers and financiers.