Financial Sense

By Matthew Kerkhoff By Matthew Kerkhoff – Back in early February, in the midst of the most vicious selloff we’ve seen in years, I showed the chart below and made the case that we were seeing a “minor blow-off top in the context of a continuing primary… …read more From:: Financial Sense

By Adrian Ash By Adrian Ash – Gold prices fell below $1220 for the fourth time in a fortnight in London trade Tuesday, hitting new 30-month lows for Euro investors at €1038 as the Bank of Japan sparked volatility on the currency… …read more From:: Financial Sense

By Urban Carmel By Urban Carmel – The macro data from the past month continues to mostly point to positive growth. On balance, the evidence suggests the imminent onset of a recession is unlikely. The largest risk to the economy is… …read more From:: Financial Sense

By FS Staff By FS Staff – Marc Chandler from Brown Brothers Harriman discusses the US dollar’s recent breakout, why he expects it to consolidate and then move higher into next year, and his concerns regarding how low the Fed funds rate is upon entering the next recession… …read more From:: Financial Sense

By Matthew Kerkhoff By Matthew Kerkhoff – What’s the best thing to talk about when the market is firing on all cylinders? Recessions, of course. Rather than getting caught up in the excitement of Nasdaq 8,000, which we reached today, or the fact… …read more From:: Financial Sense

By Peter Boockvar By Peter Boockvar – The NFIB small business optimism index for August rose almost 1 pt m/o/m to 108.8 and that is the highest level in the history of this survey dating back to 1973. Plans to Hire rose 3 pts to the most also on record. Capital spending… …read more From::

By Dwaine van Vuuren By Dwaine Van Vuuren – There is a lot of focus on the U.S. yield curve at the moment given its relentless move toward inversion (when short-term rates are higher than long-term rates). Can the history of the yield curve provide for useful forecasting… …read more From:: Financial Sense

By Peter Boockvar Peter Boockvar – The National Federation of Independent Business released its Small Business Optimism Index for September that moderated to 107.9 from 108.8, which was the record high. Higher wages continued as current compensation… …read more From:: Financial Sense

By Mises Institute – A New York Times article praising Karl Marx for being “right” has been spreading on social media. This is an interesting article, and not for the reason the author intended. The author notes that… …read more

By FS Staff – Chris Steele at ITR Economics recently gave an update on their commodity and economic outlook with FS Insider. They expect a slowdown around the 2019 timeframe and commodities to generally start peaking out in the months ahead, with the exception… …read more From:: Financial Sense