Is Fed Chair Nominee Jay Powell, Count Dracula?

By MN Gordon

A Date with Dracula

The gray hue of dawn quickly slipped to a bright clear sky as we set out last Saturday morning. The season’s autumn tinge abounded around us as the distant mountain peaks, and their mighty rifts, grew closer. The nighttime chill stubbornly lingered in the crisp air.

“Who lives in yonder castle?” Harker asked. “Pardon, Sire?” Up front in the driver’s seat it was evidently hard to understand what was said over the racket made by the team of horses that drew their carriage over the Transylvanian collection of pot holes the natives quite audaciously referred to as a “road”. In fact, the thunderous clackety-clack of their hooves was slightly unnerving, not to mention the unsafe speed at which they were moving. “I said, who lives in yonder castle?”, Harker repeated, shouting this time. “Oh!”, Igor said, nodding (Igor was their coachman). “Why Sire, is castle of Count Orlok, of course”. Of course. Good thing we are about to visit Count Dracula and not Count Orlok, Harker thought. “Better known as Count Dracula”, Igor continued, still nodding, as though it needed to be emphasized. Crap. “So which is his real name?” Harker inquired, still shouting. “Depends on who you ask, Sire”, Igor informed him, “Murnau says…” Suddenly, a piercing sound rang in Harker’s ears. It was the howl of a wolf, coming from somewhere in the woods to their left. It could hardly have been louder if the wolf had been sitting in the coach right next to him. Good grief. What’s next? To Igor he said, “Do you have lots of wolves here?” “Wolves?” Igor repeated, his tone of voice indicating mild concern. “Where wolves?” Why am I not surprised. “You have werewolves? Are there any horrors you don’t have in this shit-hole of a country?” And so it went… [PT]

Like Jonathan Harker’s journey to Transylvania roughly 120 years ago, we also traveled eastward. Our route, however, did not take as through Vienna and Budapest. Nor did it take us upward into the Carpathian Mountains.

Instead, we traversed along the foothills of the San Gabriel Mountains, passing from the Angeles National Forest to the San Bernardino National Forest. Then we climbed upward to the mile-high Oak Glen village, up above the outermost rim of the Los Angeles Basin. We had finally outrun Southern California’s seemingly endless sea of concrete.

At this mountain hamlet, we didn’t witness a single stoplight or franchise drive-thru. Billboards, transmission lines, rail corridors, and graffiti art did not blight the countryside. The built milieu hardly scarred the natural landscape.

There was only a windy narrow mountain road and a smattering of apple orchards, which filled the gentle slopes that nestle between the larger and steeper topographic terrain. Upward we climbed, to where the pine woods canopied across the roadway and the sparse clouds danced to the glint of the sunlight.

Like Harker, our destination had a very specific intent. We had a date with Dracula.

Left: Count Orlok opens the door to say hello. At first glance …read more

Source:: Acting Man

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Weekend Show – Sat 11 Nov, 2017

By Cory It’s All Gold – Technical and Fundamental Outlooks Plus A Key Company Update

Download audio file (1111-Full-Weekend-Show.mp3)

First and foremost I hope all of our Canadian listeners are sporting a poppy and taking time to remember our soldiers this Remembrance Day. My Grandpa was in the Royal Canadian Air Force as a tail-gunner in WWII. He told me some amazing stories which will stick with me for my whole life. These people are true heroes!

As for this week’s show we spend the first hour focused on the precious metals. We look at who is buying gold and supporting the metal at this price and why we are not seeing more money flow into stocks. We also get an update from one of Chris Temple’s favorite gold companies, Seabridge Gold.

Please feel free to email me at anytime if there are any companies, guests, or topics you would like to see discussed on the program. If you emailed me but I did not respond please do so again. Sometimes emails slip by but if I see it then I will respond. Fleck@kereport.com.

Segment 1: We kick off the show with George Gero, Managing Partner at RBC Wealth Management. We discuss the open interest in gold and what factors George thinks will drive the metal in 2018.
Segment 2: This is the extended interview with Rudi Fronk at Seabridge Gold. Chris Temple joins me as Seabridge is one of his favorite gold stocks.

Click here to visit the Seabridge Gold website.

Segment 3: Managing Partner at the CPM Group Jeffrey Christian shares the most recent data on gold demand from coins, ETFs, and foreign countries.
Segment 4: We wrap up the first hour with Jordan Roy-Byrne and some technical analysis on gold and gold stocks.
Segment 5: Harlan Ullman a distinguished government and private sector consultant discusses his views all based on personal knowledge of the players on the executive branch.

Click here for the biography of Harlan Ullman.

Segment 6: Dr. John Huber and comments on the Southlands Texas tragedy.
Segment 7: Well known author Lisa Prior discusses job mobility in our society.

Click here for more information on Lisa and her book “Take Charge of Your View”.

Segment 8: We wrap up KER Politics with Epoch Times reporter Joshua Philipp discuss recent events surrounding President Trump.

Exclusive Company Updates and Interviews

Introduction to International Frontier Resources – Oil In Mexico

Corvus Gold continues to grow its Nevada asset.

Introduction to Nevada Zinc – Zinc Exploration in Nevada and a Gold Play

Segment 1

Download audio file (1111-1-1.mp3)

Segment 2

Download audio file (1111-1-2.mp3)

Segment 3

Download audio file (1111-1-3.mp3)

Segment 4

Download audio file (1111-1-4.mp3)

Segment 5

Download audio file (1111-2-1.mp3)

Segment 6

Download audio file (1111-2-2.mp3)

Segment 7

Download audio file (1111-2-3.mp3)

Segment 8

Download audio file (1111-2-4.mp3)

…read more

Source:: The Korelin Economics Report

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Osisko’s hybrid model could be the future of gold streaming

By analyst

Osisko's hybrid model could be the future of gold streaming

By Frik Els

Sean Roosen, Chairman and CEO of Osisko Gold Royalties

Precious metal streaming and royalty companies are the envy of the industry.

The relative share price performance over a 10-year period of the largest gold streaming and royalty companies vs the top gold miners is eye-popping (and for those who picked the wrong crowd a decade ago probably eye-watering).
As if to prove that streaming is still where gold mining’s action is the sector saw a $1 billion deal close only three months ago
Investors love streamers for their (more) predictable cash flows, minimal GSA overheads, revenues per employee more associated with companies making iPhone apps and low risk profiles. Miners are attracted to streaming deals because it’s not dilutive like equity transaction and easy on balance sheets.

Clearly the kinds of returns shown on the graph will attract competitors and the field has become much more crowded – from micro and small caps like Metalla and Maverix to companies like Sandstorm bent on a billion dollar evaluation. Even the likes of Glencore is toying with the idea of spinning off a streaming company.

Centerra’s cash purchase of Aurico Metals at a healthy premium just this week shows a sprinkling of royalties may be the sugar on top juniors need to attract big players.

Franco Nevada’s 2007 debut still ranks as North America’s largest mining IPO ever. Royalty companies have also been involved in some of the biggest mining transaction of the past decade.

Franco Nevada set the bar high back in 2012 with its $1 billion deal with Inmet (now First Quantum) in Panama and Silver Wheaton (now Wheaton Precious Metals) followed up its $1.9 billion deal with Vale in 2013 with an $800m agreement with the Brazilian giant three years later.

For precious metals streamers the sweet spot is gold or silver byproduct from a base metal mine with a life counted in decades, but deals like that are few and far between.

That’s especially true with better times returning to mining and the majors’ deleveraging of the past few years mostly done. Bellwether Franco Nevada seemed to indicate that the era of mega deals with debt-laden majors for their byproducts may be over. The company is now singing the praises of oil & gas and has to look upstream for opportunity.

But as if to prove that streaming and royalties are still where the real gold mining action is the sector saw another $1 billion deal close only three months ago.

Osisko Gold Royalties was formed in 2014 with the sale of its Canadian Malartic mine – the country’s largest gold mine. In August the Montreal-based company closed a $1.125 billion deal for 74 streams, royalties and off-takes from private equity firm Orion Mine Finance. The transaction catapulted Osisko Gold Royalties into streaming’s top tier.

The companies that we incubated are worth three times what we were worth three years ago

MINING.com sat down with Sean Roosen, Chairman and CEO of Osisko Gold Royalties to find out what’s next for the company and for the precious metals streaming business as …read more

Source:: Infomine

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Warnings From the “China Beige Book”

By James Rickards

This post Warnings From the “China Beige Book” appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

Leland Miller, a good friend of mine, is the founder and proprietor of an economic research service called the “China Beige Book.”

The name “beige book” was borrowed from the surveys conducted by regional Federal Reserve banks of economic conditions in their regions. (In the days before the internet, the Fed issued hard-copy booklets with different-colored covers based on subject matter. The economic conditions booklet had a beige-colored cover. Hence the name.)

Lee does in China what the Fed does in its regions, except he covers the entire country. He has a diverse network of over 3,000 companies and entrepreneurs in all business sectors. He gets his information straight from the source and bypasses government channels. It’s like a private intelligence service.

In fact, Lee’s network is better than the CIA’s when it comes to economic data. The CIA actually turns to Lee for advice.

The detailed research service costs about $100,000 per year for one subscription. But Lee publishes summaries on a quarterly basis, and they are freely available. His latest summary doesn’t paint a pretty picture.

The China Beige Book, CBB, says that China had been covering up and smoothing over problems related to weak growth and excessive debt in order to provide a calm face to the world in advance of the National Congress of the Communist Party of China, which took place last month.

CBB also makes it clear that the much-touted “rebalancing” of the Chinese economy away from investment and manufacturing toward consumption and spending has not occurred. Instead China has doubled down on excess capacity in coal, steel and manufacturing and has continued its policy of wasteful investment fueled with unpayable debt.

It’s become obvious that the first cracks are starting to appear in China’s Great Wall of Debt.

The Chinese debt binge of the past 10 years is a well-known story. Chinese corporations have incurred dollar-denominated debts in the hundreds of billions of dollars, most of which are unpayable without subsidies from Beijing.

China’s debt-to-equity ratio is over 300%, far worse than America’s (which is also dangerously high) and comparable to that of Japan and other all-star debtors. China’s trillion-dollar wealth management product (WMP) market is basically a Ponzi scheme.

New WMPs are used to redeem maturing WMPs, while most of the market is simply rolled over because the underlying real estate and infrastructure projects cannot possibly repay their debts.

A lot of corporate lending is simply one company lending to another, which in turns lends to another, giving the outward appearance of every company holding good assets, but in which none of the companies can actually pay its creditors. It’s an accounting game with no real money behind it and no chance of repayment.

All of this is well-known.

What is not known is when it will end. When will confidence be …read more

Source:: Daily Reckoning feed

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Become a “Marijuana Millionaire” — Without Risking a Dime in the Market

CVSI chart

By Matthew Milner

This post Become a “Marijuana Millionaire” — Without Risking a Dime in the Market appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

The medical marijuana sector is on fire!

It’s only been legal for a short period of time, but already it’s become a $7 billion market in the U.S. — and is soon expected to reach $500 billion globally.

That helps explain why investors have been pouring millions of dollars into this sector.

But here’s the thing…

Most of these folks are doing it all wrong.

Today we’re going to show you a better way to invest in this explosive market.

It’s a simple strategy that helps protect your downside while dramatically increasing your upside.

The best part is you won’t have to risk a single dime in the stock market.

Pot Stocks Are Volatile

Pot stocks can be volatile. Prices can quickly skyrocket — but they can collapse just as fast.

For example, take a look at CV Sciences (CVSI):

CVSI shot up from $2 to $147. Then collapsed to just 24 cents a share:

It’s the same story for 22nd Century Group (XXII).

Initially the stock skyrocketed by more than 2,500% (from 20 cents to more than $5). But then it cratered to just 61 cents:

It’s the same thing again with Mountain High Acquisitions (MYHI):

Investors who timed it perfectly could have made nearly 100 times their money — but most folks bought it near $10, right before it crashed to a penny a share!

As you can see, pot stocks can return big gains, hence their appeal. But they also come with the risk of quick losses. Timing is everything, but many people just don’t have the ability, or desire, to watch the market moves that closely day in and day out.

But there’s an alternative to all this, and it’s a great one.

You see, we recently discovered a way for investors to get access to all of the explosive upside potential of investing in penny pot stocks — with much less risk.

Here’s How to Lock in Your Profits

To explain what I mean, let’s take another look at CV Sciences…

CVSI shot up from $2 to $147, and then plummeted to 24 cents a share.

Investors who rode this stock all the way up and all the way down are probably sick to their stomach. Their paper profits of 7,300% just evaporated.

But now let’s look at a different group of investors.

These investors didn’t lose a dime when CVSI’s stock collapsed.

In fact, even with this stock trading at just 24 cents, they’re still sitting on a 480% profit.

How is that possible?

Simple… These investors got into CV Sciences before it went public.

They got in when CVSI was still a private startup — before it was listed on a stock exchange like the Nasdaq and before they could buy shares from their broker.

By getting in on the ground floor, they were able to lock in their shares at an extremely low price, paying just 5 cents per share.

So even with this stock trading today at just 24 cents, they’re still sitting on a triple-digit …read more

Source:: Daily Reckoning feed

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KER Politics – Fri 10 Nov, 2017

By Big Al Harlan Ullman provides a preview to our Weekend Radio Show discussing U.S. foreign policy and presidents from Jack Kennedy to Donald Trump

Harlan Ullman, well know consultant and author, discusses his views, all based on personal knowledge concerning the executive branch going back to Jack Kennedy.

Download audio file (Genesis-Segment-5-Sept-11-Harlan-Ullman-a-distingusihed-government-and-private-sector-consultant-discusses-his-views-all-based-on-personal-knowledge-of-the-players-on-the-executive-branch.mp3)

…read more

Source:: The Korelin Economics Report

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How to Retire Happy – 5 Tips Backed by Science

By Nilus Mattive

This post How to Retire Happy – 5 Tips Backed by Science appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

In order to retire happy you need to have two boxes checked: 1) financial security 2) good health.

These two categories are mutually dependent on one another.

Without wealth, you’ll constantly be worried about maintaining basic needs, as a result, your health will suffer. Without health, you have no energy to enjoy all the pleasures wealth can offer.

Today I want to dive deeper into these two categories and give you some tips – five to be exact – backed by science that will guarantee a happy retirement.

Tip #1 – The Happiest Retirees Have Predictable Paychecks

Whether it’s a pension, rental properties, or fixed annuities, retirees with a predictable income get more enjoyment from spending those dollars than they do using money from a 401(k) or an IRA, says Wes Moss, financial planner and author of You Can Retire Sooner Than You Think: The 5 Money Secrets of the Happiest Retirees.

In addition, a Towers Watson happiness survey found that retirees who rely mostly on investments had the highest financial anxiety. “Almost a third of retirees who get less than 25% of their income from a pension or annuity were worried about their financial future; of those who receive 50% or more of their income from such a predictable source, just under a quarter expressed the same anxiety.”

There are plenty of ways to start building a steady retirement income – and I’ll help you discover lots of them going forward.

Tip #2 – Own a Home Until You’re 80

If you currently own a home, then you know the joy homeownership can offer. However, this joy tends to wane as you get older.

Michael Finke, a professor of retirement and personal financial planning at Texas Tech University, looked at the satisfaction of homeowners versus that of renters from age 20 to 90-plus and found a drop late in life, particularly after homeowners hit their eighties.

“The hassles of homeownership build as you age,” says Finke, “and a house can be isolating.” Although we have the tendency to want to stay in our home forever, Finke advises against that. “You need to plan for a transition to living in an environment with more social interaction and less home responsibility.”

Tip #3 – Have at Least 4 Hobbies

The happiest retirees have hobbies – no surprise. But not all hobbies are created equal. Wes Moss found that the happiest retirees engage in three to four activities regularly; the least happy, only one or two. “The happy retiree group had extraordinarily busy schedules,” he says.

The hobbies most likely to deliver the most happiness to retirees are typically social (think: volunteering, travel, and golf).

Whereas, the unhappiest retirees tend to spend more time reading, hunting, fishing, and writing. Moss says, “The happiest people don’t do things in isolation.”

Tip #4 – Get a Part-Time Job in Your Circle of Competence

The benefits of working part-time in retirement extend beyond financial. Research …read more

Source:: Daily Reckoning feed

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Is Bitcoin a Bubble?

By Alexander Green “Is bitcoin a bubble?”

I get asked that question with surprising frequency at investment conferences and seminars.

I say “surprising” because I haven’t written much about the cryptocurrency and digital payment system – and don’t pretend to be an expert on it.

Of course, neither are most of the people I hear spouting off about it these days.

I’m happy to share what I know and – just as importantly – don’t know about bitcoin… and why I don’t recommend it.

Four years ago, I had dinner at the Oceanaire in Baltimore with my colleagues Eric Fry and Joel Bowman.

Over the meal, Joel waxed enthusiastic about the many benefits of bitcoin:

Unlike fiat currencies – virtually every government-issued paper currency in circulation – the supply is limited.
Transactions are quick and easy.
They are also private and beyond government control (unregulated).
Transactions are irreversible.
And there is no paperwork.

He conceded that there was a lot about the currency he didn’t fully understand and that he’d even had some of his own bitcoin stolen from his digital “wallet.”

Yet that didn’t dampen his enthusiasm.

“Just buy it, Alex,” he said. “Buy it and hang on to it. You’ll be glad you did.”

I didn’t. But Joel – a long-term believer – must be a happy man today.

Bitcoin was about $270 then. It’s closer to $6,800 today.

You might imagine I regret not buying it. But I don’t. At least, not any more than I regret not betting on the winning number on the last spin of the roulette wheel at Caesars Palace last night.

A lot of things about bitcoin seem hinky to me. For example, no one knows who created the currency.

The inventor is an unknown individual (or group of people) named Satoshi Nakamoto. It was released as open-source software in 2009.

Bitcoin – like other cryptocurrencies – is based on the blockchain, a decentralized database technology that serves as a ledger for recording secure transactions.

And while bitcoin offers all the advantages I cited above, it has drawbacks too.

[iu-adbox]

For starters, most merchants and individuals don’t accept it. There is no physical form of the currency, so you can never take delivery outside the virtual world. There is also the risk – as with any new technology – of unknown technical flaws.

An even bigger problem for this medium of exchange is the wild swings in valuation.

Who wants to owe someone bitcoin and find when it comes time to pay him or her back that the currency is worth five, ten or a hundred times as much?

Conversely, who wants to be owed bitcoin and find when it comes time to get repaid that it’s worth half, a tenth or a hundredth as much?

One reason bitcoin has appreciated so dramatically is it has a limit of 21 million coins. (About 17 million are already in circulation.)

But the explosion of competing virtual currencies dilutes the value of this limited float.

There are more than 1,000 virtual currencies out there currently, with 67 worth at least $100 million.

How can we know that one of these others won’t …read more

Source:: Investment You

The post Is Bitcoin a Bubble? appeared first on Junior Mining Analyst.

America’s Silent Crisis: Silent No Longer

By Brian Maher

This post America’s Silent Crisis: Silent No Longer appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

America’s silent crisis grows audible…

Pensions & Investments magazine — yes, a publication exists bearing that title — reports that Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) will soon introduce legislation allowing failing pension funds to borrow from the U.S. Treasury.

The plan would let funds borrow taxpayer money on extremely easy terms to meet their requirements.

Or as Zero Hedge’s pseudonymous Tyler Durden has it:

Funds collected from taxpaying Americans will be spent to satisfy the ridiculous retirement promises and obligations made over the past few decades, and while the immediate recipients of the funds, i.e., those looking at near-term retirement, will be made whole, everyone else, i.e., taxpayers, will lose.

Just so.

The bill would also hatch a new bureaucracy within the Treasury Department called the Pension Rehabilitation Administration.

America would therefore be condemned to a pension crisis for the remainder of its days — the nature of bureaucracy is not to solve but to expand any problem it was created to solve.

That is how it justifies its existence… and keeps itself in funds.

At all events, the agency would have its work cut out…

MarketWatch columnist Jeff Reeves has warned that “collapsing pensions will fuel America’s next financial crisis.”

“This is not a distant concern,” he adds, “but a system already in crisis.”

By some estimates, America’s public pensions alone are sunk in a $6 trillion abyss.

According to data supplied by the Federal Reserve, pensions — public and private combined — were roughly 27% underfunded at the end of last year.

The dilemma, approached from any direction, is a labyrinth.

How has the American pension come to such a troubled estate?

Most public pension systems were built upon the rosy-dawn assumption that their investments would yield a handsome 7.5% annual return.

And once upon a time, that may have been realistic.

But that was before the 2008 financial crisis… before the Federal Reserve opened its war on savers… and bonds still paid a handsome yield.

Consider…

The average public pension plan worked an average gain of 2–4% by 2015.

It returned just 0.6% last year, according to Bloomberg.

The Center for Retirement Research says that even if these plans attain their Pollyannaish 7.5% returns over the next few years, they’ll still only be 73% funded by 2021.

Meanwhile, a great number of pensioners are entering or approaching retirement.

A highly technical term describes the foregoing… and we apologize if it sends you off to the dictionary:

Insolvency.

Briefly turn your attention to the Golden State, for example…

California pins its hopes on that pie-in-sky 7.5% annual return.

But recall the average public pension plan only returns 0.6%.

The math is the math.

California essentially depends on returns 12.5 times the norm.

Currently, California pension plans only meet 65% of their promised benefits.

And California is by no means alone.

The great state of Illinois, for example, risks sinking into a $130 billion “death spiral” from its unfunded pension liabilities, as Ted Dabrowski of the Illinois Policy Institute describes it.

But the problems aren’t limited to California or Illinois.

They run from Portland to Portland, Lake Superior to …read more

Source:: Daily Reckoning feed

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Dream of Retiring Overseas? Look Here …

By Nilus Mattive

This post Dream of Retiring Overseas? Look Here … appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

My family loves to travel. South Africa … Thailand … India … Peru … Italy … Panama … the list of foreign countries we’ve visited, some of them two or three times, is pretty long.

And there have definitely been times when we’ve talked about staying at some of those destinations a little bit longer … like maybe even forever.

For more and more Americans, that’s becoming a reality.

The State Department estimates that 8.7 million U.S. citizens — excluding military personnel – now live in more than 160 foreign countries.

About 400,000 of them are collecting Social Security overseas, too.

Given the massive wave of Baby Boomers now retiring, those numbers are sure to keep rising.

After all, a home with a view of the Pacific is much less expensive in San Juan del Sur, Nicaragua than it is here in Santa Barbara, California.

Top notch medical care in Bangkok, Thailand costs a fraction of what you’d pay in Dallas, Texas.

It’s even possible to avoid various types of taxes depending on your personal circumstances.

Beyond the financial considerations, many folks are also looking to simply escape harsh North American winters …

Distance themselves from American politics …

Or embrace a new adventure after decades spent in the same office or town.

So whether you’re just an armchair traveler or seriously considering becoming an expat, let’s explore six countries from different regions of the world that might make interesting places for retirement …

Central America

Central America is popular for many American retirees. It’s close to the U.S. with sunny beaches and remains very affordable.

I’ve gone to Costa Rica three times to enjoy its world-class surf, but there’s much more to Latin America’s longest-running democracy than great wavers.

Many expats live in the central valley where you can avoid the tourists and enjoy the mild climate at elevations above 3,000 feet.

Spanish is the official language, and once you venture from the more touristy areas, a basic understanding of that language is extremely helpful.

Nicaragua and Panama are also up-and-coming Central American destinations that boast many of the same advantages as Costa Rica and maybe even cheaper costs.

For that matter, I had a great time in El Salvador when I visited in 2016!

Okay, next stop …

South America

One survey found that expats in Ecuador say it’s one of the best places in the world to live a happy life. The cost of living is low. And there’s no shortage of things to do.

Love beaches? Salinas could be the locale for you. The summer season is from mid-December through April.

Or, if sailing, surfing, and scuba diving aren’t your passions … look no further than the third-largest city in Ecuador …

Cuenca, with about 500,000 people, lies on the Andes mountain range. Year-round temperatures average in the mid-70s.

This city is a haven for artists and writers, who have prospered there since the 16th century. It’s an ideal spot for hikers and has some of the best fresh food markets in the country.

Southeast Asia

If …read more

Source:: Daily Reckoning feed

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