{"id":829452,"date":"2018-07-07T15:53:47","date_gmt":"2018-07-07T15:53:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/?p=829452"},"modified":"2018-07-07T15:53:47","modified_gmt":"2018-07-07T15:53:47","slug":"micronchina-holding-markets-back","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/?p=829452","title":{"rendered":"Micron\/China Holding Markets Back"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"entry-content post-content\">\n<div class=\"post-meta date-color\">\n<div class=\"entry-meta single-post-meta clearfix gem-post-date\">\n<div class=\"post-meta-left\">\n<p><span class=\"post-meta-date\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/partners\/idevaffiliate.php?id=421\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-689341 alignleft\" src=\"http:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/technicaltraders2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"260\" height=\"128\" data-id=\"689341\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>July 5, 2018<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Just before the July 4<sup>th<\/sup>\u00a0holiday, the US equity markets were about to rally above a defined wedge formation that has been defining price range for the past 7+ days.\u00a0 As the markets opened on July 3<sup>rd<\/sup>, prices had already started to rally and appeared to be ready to rocket higher by a decent amount.\u00a0 Yet, by early morning,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-micron-tech-stocks\/china-court-bans-micron-chip-sales-in-patent-case-taiwans-umc-idUSKBN1JT2DL?il=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">news that China had banned Micron chip sales<\/a>\u00a0in a patent case caused the markets to reverse quite steadily.\u00a0 This news, as it relates to US chip manufacturers and a major part of the NASDAQ, creates a temporary speed bump in the perceived rally that we have been expecting for weeks.<\/p>\n<p>The Technology sector makes up a very large component of the US major indexes.\u00a0 Other than the DOW, technology firms are spread across nearly every sector of the US major indexes and this case may have some reach to it.\u00a0 As the trade tariffs and trade issues continue to ramp up, these types of explosive news items can drive the markets up or down as the news hits.\u00a0 We consider these external factors that push the market one way or another while the core market dynamics may want to drive prices in another direction.<\/p>\n<p>Recently we showed a number of research posts indicating our proprietary predictive price modeling systems cycles and price projections that show the core market bias should be to the upside.\u00a0 We believe these news events cause a price pause and an opportunity to take advantage of lower price rotation which moves against the core market dynamics.<\/p>\n<p>This holiday week is certain to see news event drive price rotation as the volume is thin and many people are vacationing or out of town.\u00a0 This means people will not be active in the markets as much and news events can push price in directions and trends that may not normally be as present in price.<\/p>\n<p>This 240-minute chart of the ES shows the pennant\/flag formation that we mentioned a few days ago.\u00a0 We believe the support level near 2700 is key to the upside breakout that is likely to happen.\u00a0 This pennant formation has already formed a completed 5 waves and should be pushing higher \u2013 although the news from China regarding Micron seemed to create a late price decline.\u00a0 As long as that 2700 level holds, we believe the upside price move is the eventual play in this market.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-26388\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/1-1.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/1-1.png 700w, https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/1-1-300x175.png 300w\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"408\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>This Weekly ES chart shows a longer-term perspective of the price rotation.\u00a0 One can easily see the recent upside price rally from near 2550 to 2800.\u00a0 The current downside price rotation, from 2800 to near 2700, appears to be aligning with our Tesla Vibrational price cycles and our time\/price cycles in the form of a bottom cycle formation near July 15 with an upside price potential rally that could extend 4~7+ weeks.\u00a0 Notice the GREEN vibrational range near the current price and notice the next outer RED range.\u00a0 As we break the GREEN vibrational range, our Tesla theory suggests that price will attempt to move in the easiest direction towards the next vibrational range \u2013 the RED level.\u00a0 This would suggest that price may attempt to rally well above 2800 within a trend that could last many months.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-26389\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/2-1.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/2-1.png 700w, https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/2-1-300x175.png 300w\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"408\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The NQ has reacted quite differently than the ES.\u00a0 This 240 minute NQ chart shows the deeper price rotation recently as well as the pennant formation that has constrained price.\u00a0 Additionally, one can clearly see the upside breakout of this pennant formation recently and the return of price to near-term support (near 7030). This return to support on the China news could indicate a renewed test of support before an upside move.\u00a0 Although we don\u2019t expect the NQ to rally as much as the ES and YM charts, we do still expect to see some upside price moves in the NQ over time.\u00a0 7200 to 7300 would be our immediate upside targets.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-26386\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/3-1.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/3-1.png 700w, https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/3-1-300x175.png 300w\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"408\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>This NQ weekly chart shows just how clean the upside move has been after the February price collapse.\u00a0 While many people were initiating short positions thinking the markets were going to fall further, the rush of capital into the NASDAQ continued to drive capital valuations and appreciation.\u00a0 Now, with Q2 earning right around the corner, we believe the NQ will rally a bit on earning news, yet fail to really push much beyond the 7400 level.\u00a0 We believe the real earnings values will be in small caps, blue chips and the DOW and S&amp;P.\u00a0 We don\u2019t believe we will see blowout earnings numbers from most of tech this time.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-26387\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/4.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/4.png 700w, https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/4-300x175.png 300w\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"408\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>A move to near 7400 would be a renewed push to new NQ highs.\u00a0 This would be a very positive move in the markets and would put incredible pressures on the shorts \u2013 creating a short squeeze.\u00a0 Far too many people fail to understand that a large amount of foreign capital is trying to avoid devaluation and price depreciation.\u00a0 Investors don\u2019t like to sit on long-term holdings when a currency is devaluing excessively and stock prices (in that currency base) are devaluing as well.\u00a0 It is like a double-whammy of loss for investors that can easily move that capital into something without these risks.\u00a0 Therefore, as long as the emerging markets and foreign markets continue to experience some levels of price contraction, we believe the strong US Dollar and strong US Equity markets will be the \u201cmarket of choice\u201d.\u00a0 This means a continued \u201cmelt up\u201d as global traders rush to find an investment that can avoid the risks of local exchanges\/equities.<\/p>\n<p>Please don\u2019t get caught off-guard with regards to this price rotation and what it means to the markets.\u00a0 A massive price expansion pattern is setting up in the US markets that may drive prices much higher all the way through 2019 and possibly further.\u00a0 We believe many of the major analysts have missed this pattern and we have positioned our loyal members to take advantage of this move in the future.<\/p>\n<p>Visit\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/partners\/idevaffiliate.php?id=421\">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/a>\u00a0to learn how we can help you stay ahead of this market and stay on the right side of price trends.\u00a0 You owe it to yourself to learn how we can deliver superior research and trading signals to help you find profits and better manage your trades.<\/p>\n<p>Our articles,\u00a0<u><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/25122-2\/\">Technical Trading Mastery book<\/a><\/u>, and\u00a0<u><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/tsm\/\">3 Hour Trading Video Course<\/a><\/u>\u00a0are designed for both traders and investors to explore the tools and techniques that discretionary and algorithmic traders need to profit in today\u2019s competitive markets. Created with the serious trader and investor in mind \u2013 whether beginner or professional \u2013 our approach will put you on the path to win. Understanding market structure, trend identification, cycle analysis, volatility, volume, when and when to trade, position management, and how to put it all together so that you have a winning edge.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/partners\/idevaffiliate.php?id=421\"><strong>BECOME A TECHNICAL TRADER<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/partners\/idevaffiliate.php?id=421\"><strong>AND RECEIVE DAILY ANALYSIS &amp; TRADE ALERTS!<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"socials-sharing socials socials-colored-hover \"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>July 5, 2018 Just before the July 4th\u00a0holiday, the US equity markets were about to rally above a defined wedge formation that has been defining price range for the past 7+ days.\u00a0 As the markets opened on July 3rd, prices had already started to rally and appeared to be ready to rocket higher by a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":695171,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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