{"id":454061,"date":"2017-03-13T22:27:49","date_gmt":"2017-03-13T22:27:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/?p=454061"},"modified":"2017-03-13T22:27:49","modified_gmt":"2017-03-13T22:27:49","slug":"the-lull-before-the-storm-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/?p=454061","title":{"rendered":"The Lull Before the Storm?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/a><\/div>\n

By Brian Maher<\/a><\/span> <\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

This post The Lull Before the Storm? appeared first on Daily Reckoning.<\/p>\n

We’ve been scratching our noggin lately over the calm \u2014 the eerie calm \u2014 that’s descended upon markets. <\/p>\n

A rate hike this Wednesday is a dead cinch. More hikes are in prospect later this year. The debt ceiling expires this Wednesday, with high odds of a budget crisis (see below).<\/p>\n

As the Daily Reckoning’s International Man, Simon Black tells us this morning the government’s cash hoard is down to just $34 billion. It’ll be out of cash by Memorial Day if the ceiling isn’t raised.<\/p>\n

To these possible head winds we add roiling tensions in Asia and critical elections in Europe.<\/p>\n

But the VIX index, Wall Street’s \u201cfear gauge,\u201d is down again today\u2026 <\/p>\n

Worry not, says the market. It’s safe out there. Come\u2026 cast your bread upon the waters.<\/p>\n

But what’s this we see? Weather ahead? Details in a moment.<\/p>\n

But first the latest report\u2026 <\/p>\n

The Dow’s off 22 points today, the S&P’s just about flat. <\/p>\n

Meanwhile, crude lost a nickel, and gold \u2014 a barometer of sorts \u2014 is up about three bucks. <\/p>\n

A quiet day overall. Too quiet.<\/p>\n

But it’s something else that’s got us pulling in our sails today\u2026<\/p>\n

The Wall Street Journal reports that insider buying \u2014 company brass buying its own stock \u2014 is at its lowest level in 29 years:<\/p>\n

Corporate executives are buying their own firms’ shares at the slowest pace in at least 29 years, the latest sign of uncertainty as the bull market in U.S. stocks enters its ninth year\u2026 There were a total of 279 insider buyers in January, the lowest number going back to 1988, according to the Washington Service, a provider of insider-trading data and analytics.<\/p>\n

Many consider insider action a leading market indicator. It’s a good sign if the insiders are buying. It’s a bad sign if they’re selling.<\/p>\n

After all, who knows a company’s prospects better than the insiders? Theirs is the \u201csmart money.\u201d<\/p>\n

And now the smart money’s selling\u2026 just as the fools are rushing in.<\/p>\n

Maybe the insiders know something the fools don’t?<\/p>\n

The Journal offers a clue:<\/p>\n

While many investors expect corporate earnings to pick up in coming quarters, reflecting the continuing U.S. economic recovery and Trump administration tax cut and deregulatory plans, the strong market gains mean that investors are paying more now for expected corporate earnings than at any point in over a decade.<\/p>\n

That’s the thing. Price\/earnings (P\/E) ratios are now firmly in what David Stockman calls the nosebleed level of history.<\/p>\n

The average P\/E ratio for the S&P is 26.6 \u2014 over 75% higher than its historical average.<\/p>\n

Sovereign Man reports that since the 1870s, there have only been three other periods when the average P\/E ratio broached 26.5.<\/p>\n

The first preceded the Panic of 1893. The second came before the 2000 dot-com bust. The third preceded the crash of 2008.<\/p>\n

So elevated were these P\/E ratios\u2026 October ’29 doesn’t even crack the top three. <\/p>\n

But at 26.6, today’s P\/E ratio crosses the 26.5 red line \u2014 and is \u2026read more<\/a> <\/p>\n

Source:: Daily Reckoning feed<\/a><\/p>\n

The post <\/a>The Lull Before the Storm?<\/a> appeared first on Junior Mining Analyst<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Brian Maher This post The Lull Before the Storm? appeared first on Daily Reckoning. We’ve been scratching our noggin lately over the calm \u2014 the eerie calm \u2014 that’s descended upon markets. A rate hike this Wednesday is a dead cinch. More hikes are in prospect later this year. The debt ceiling expires this […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/454061"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=454061"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/454061\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=454061"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=454061"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=454061"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}