{"id":1186249,"date":"2020-05-25T09:29:44","date_gmt":"2020-05-25T14:29:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oilandgas-investments.com\/?p=32532"},"modified":"2020-05-25T09:29:44","modified_gmt":"2020-05-25T14:29:44","slug":"red-hot-spacs-meet-renewable-green-energy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/?p=1186249","title":{"rendered":"RED HOT SPACs MEET RENEWABLE GREEN ENERGY"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This might not seem like a very good time to bring a company public.<\/p>\n<p>But a small corner of the initial public offering (IPO) market is actually booming right now&#8211;and the biggest renewable energy company since <span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Tesla (TSLA-NASD)<\/strong><\/span> is now involved.\u00a0 They&#8217;re called Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs).<\/p>\n<p>You may not recognize the term, but there have been several high profile ENERGY-related SPACs. Very few have worked out.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Maybe the most successful oil company SPAC was Mark Papa\u2019s <span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Centennial Resource Development (CDEX \u2013 NYSE).<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0 In 2016 CDEV raised $500 million.\u00a0 While things recently went south (its now trades at under a buck), the stock did trade as high as $20 in mid-2018.<\/p>\n<p>One of the biggest flops in the SPAC world also came from the E&amp;P world.\u00a0 <span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Alta Mesa Corp (symbol was AMR-NYSE<\/strong><\/span> before bankruptcy) was a shale producer and midstream operator focused on the STACK formation in Oklahoma.\u00a0 But the stock fell flat on its face eventually filing for bankruptcy last year.<br \/>Alta Mesa has the added infamy of also being the largest SPAC by IPO proceeds \u2013 over $1 billion raised.<\/p>\n<p>Now we\u2019re seeing SPACs in renewable energy.\u00a0 Take <span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>VectoIQ Acquisition Corp (VTIQ \u2013 NASDAQ).<\/strong><\/span> \u00a0The stock price of this SPAC has risen by over 150% since the beginning of March.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/oilandgas-investments.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1-3.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-32533 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/oilandgas-investments.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1-3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"http:\/\/oilandgas-investments.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1-3.jpg 600w, http:\/\/oilandgas-investments.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1-3-300x180.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: StockCharts.com<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Investors piled into VectoIQ after they announced that they would merge with Nikola (as in Nikola Tesla), a private Arizona start-up developing a fleet of electric\/hydrogen fuel cell vehicles \u2013 semi-trucks, pickups and power sport vehicles.<\/p>\n<p>At the close of the transaction the surviving company, which will be called Nikola, will trade publicly on NASDAQ.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\">\u00a0<span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>SPAC\u2019s: A Different Kind of IPO<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">VectoIQ\u2019s bid for Nikola is typical for a SPAC.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A SPAC is a large pool of money\u2014often $100 million or more&#8211;looking to merge with a private company and bring it public.<\/p>\n<p>Think of a SPAC as kind of a backdoor entry to the public markets.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Unlike a traditional initial public offering (IPO) a SPAC merger doesn\u2019t require a roadshow.\u00a0 There is no broker\/dealer underwriter.\u00a0 The SEC documents are not as extensive.<\/p>\n<p>For private companies not looking to raise new capital (or for those looking to cash out), it can be a preferable route to the public market.<\/p>\n<p>SPAC IPOs are gaining momentum.\u00a0 The number and dollar value of IPO\u2019s have been rising for 10 years.\u00a0 So far 2020 looks like another record breaker.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/oilandgas-investments.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/2-2.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-32534 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/oilandgas-investments.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/2-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"392\" srcset=\"http:\/\/oilandgas-investments.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/2-2.jpg 600w, http:\/\/oilandgas-investments.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/2-2-300x196.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><em>Source: Euromoney<\/em><br \/>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>The SPAC Structure<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">VectoIQ, like all SPACs, went public at a price of $10 per unit (in May 2018).\u00a0 23 million units were issued for $230 million.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Also typical was the SPAC structure of shares and warrants.\u00a0 For VectoIQ, each unit consisted of one share and one warrant.\u00a0 The warrants gave investors the ability to purchase a share at $11.50.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Each SPAC comes out with a share and warrant IPO and most price the warrants at $11.50.\u00a0 The variable is usually warrant fraction.\u00a0 Sometimes investors get a full warrant, sometimes they get half, sometimes less.\u00a0 It all depends on demand for that SPAC.<\/p>\n<p>After the IPO, the shares of VectoIQ did nothing for almost two years.\u00a0 The company was just a shell, holding cash in short term treasuries.<\/p>\n<p>But behind the scenes the managers of the SPAC were looking for a deal.\u00a0 When they found the right one (Nikola), they made it happen.<br \/>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>The Rules of SPACs<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u00a0<br \/>SPACs are also called blind capital pools or \u201cprivate investment public equity\u201d (PIPES).\u00a0 The SPAC is usually run by private equity sponsor who is already neck deep in deal making.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The word \u201cblind\u201d is appropriate.\u00a0 At the time of the SPAC IPO, investors do not know what the deal might be (in fact it would be illegal if they did).<\/p>\n<p>So why would someone invest blindly?\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>It comes down to the SPAC rules.<\/p>\n<p>First, the SPAC has a deadline to find a deal.\u00a0 Maximum of 3 years but usually capped at 24 months.<\/p>\n<p>If the SPAC does not find an acquisition in that timeframe the investors get their money back \u2013 with interest.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Second, if you don\u2019t like the acquisition, you can ask for your money back.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>At the time of merger (this is called the De-SPAC transaction), the SPAC is required to offer SPAC shareholders the option to redeem for $10.<\/p>\n<p>Again \u2013 no harm, no foul.<\/p>\n<p>Hedge funds like SPACs because they are what is called \u201ca free carry\u201d.\u00a0 That is to say \u2013 a free shot on goal with an opt-out clause.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>But the biggest winners in a SPAC are the founders \u2013 also called the sponsors.\u00a0 They manage the IPO and look for the deal \u2013 and in return they usually get 20% of the SPAC shares \u2013 <em>for free!<\/em><\/p>\n<p>It is a sweet setup, but only if they get a good deal. Which means their interests are aligned with investors.<\/p>\n<p>But it does create a hurdle \u2013 any deal the SPAC finds needs to overcome this 20% free ticket for the founder.<\/p>\n<p>Some of them do.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\">\u00a0<span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Nikola Nuts and Bolts<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u00a0<br \/>At the close of the transaction between VectoIQ and Nikola the share structure will consist of:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>VectoIQ SPAC shareholders owning 23 million shares and another 23 million warrants (at $11.50)<\/li>\n<li>Founders owning 6.64 million shares of stock<\/li>\n<li>52.5 million shares from an additional financing done at the time of the acquisition (at $10)<\/li>\n<li>Nikola shareholders owning 320.7 million shares<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>In total there will be about 428 million shares outstanding (including in-the-money warrants).\u00a0 At the current price of $25.75 that values the company at $11 billion.<\/p>\n<p>In this case the sponsors at VectoIQ found a deal that more than made up for the free founder shares.<\/p>\n<p>Is Nikola worth that much?\u00a0 That is going to depend on your take on the electric\/hydrogen vehicle market.\u00a0<br \/>In their slide deck, Nikola estimates 14,000 BEVs and 30,000 FCEV sales in 2027.\u00a0 With estimated EBITDA margins of 12.8%, the company forecasts EBITDA could be $1.35 billion at that time.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/oilandgas-investments.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/3-1.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-32535 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/oilandgas-investments.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/3-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"325\" height=\"289\" srcset=\"http:\/\/oilandgas-investments.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/3-1.jpg 325w, http:\/\/oilandgas-investments.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/3-1-300x267.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 325px) 100vw, 325px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: VectoIQ May Investor Presentation<\/em><\/p>\n<p>If that turns out to be right, then maybe Nikola will not look <em>quite<\/em> so expensive. Regardless, you can\u2019t argue that early investors in VectoIQ did well for themselves. Those investors paid $10 for a unit.\u00a0 That is one share, one warrant. With the stock now trading at $25+, they are making out like bandits.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\">\u00a0<span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Some Winners, Many Losers<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u00a0<br \/>Recent SPAC successes like <strong><span style=\"color: #008000;\">Virgin Galactic (SPCE \u2013 NASDAQ), Nikola and DraftKings (DKNG \u2013 NASDAQ)<\/span><\/strong> conjure up big hopes.\u00a0 But not every SPAC ends well.\u00a0 In fact, more often then not, they flop.\u00a0<br \/>More recent SPACs with an energy bent have struggled to get out of the gate.\u00a0 <strong><span style=\"color: #008000;\">Black Ridge Acquisition Corp (AESE \u2013 NASDAQ)<\/span><\/strong> raised $138 million in 2018 to do deals in the energy sector before doing an about face and buying WPT Entertainment and an esports business called Allied eSports.\u00a0 The stock last traded at under $2.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Spartan Energy Acquisition Corp (SPAQ \u2013 NYSE)<\/strong><\/span><strong>,<\/strong> which is sponsored by Apollo, is coming up on its 2-year IPO anniversary in August and still hasn\u2019t done a deal.\u00a0 It trades at $10.24.<\/p>\n<p>Very recently, <span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Alussa Energy Acquisition Corp (ALUS \u2013 NASDAQ)<\/strong><\/span><strong>,<\/strong> a SPAC targeting oil and gas acquisitions, raised $250 million in an IPO in November.\u00a0 They have yet to complete a deal.\u00a0 It trades at $9.65 \u2013 so under the deal price.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Pure Acquisition Corp (PACO-NYSE),<\/strong><\/span> which raised $414 million in 2018, did complete an acquisition in early May \u2013 of HighPeak Energy \u2013 a Permian E&amp;P, but only having trying and failing to complete the same deal in October.\u00a0 It trades at $10.50.<br \/>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>How to Play the SPAC Market<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>There are THREE ways to play the SPAC market. That&#8217;s because there are usually THREE listings for each SPAC.<\/p>\n<p>The first is to buy a new SPAC IPO out of the gate.\u00a0 New symbols will trade with a \u201c.U\u201d extension \u2013 this means you are buying the unit \u2013 the share and the warrant. The warrant will give this unit some extra value, but often only 10-40 cents. So you if you don&#8217;t like the deal, you&#8217;re only losing that premium when you return your stock to the company.<\/p>\n<p>But at some point (usually about 30 days) the warrant starts to trade separately; it gets stripped out. When that happens, <em><u>the leverage&#8211;and the risk&#8211;is in the warrant<\/u><\/em>. It often trades with FIVE letters in the symbol, and ends in a W. If the deal&#8211;like VTIQ&#8211;ends up being hot and the stock goes from $10 &#8211; $25&#8211;well, the warrant is a 10-30 bagger very quickly. But if there is no deal for the SPAC or the market doesn&#8217;t like the deal, the warrant can become worthless. Warrants can trade for well over $1 sometimes.<\/p>\n<p>That means be discerning.\u00a0 Do your homework on the deal making team.\u00a0 Also check the deal terms and disclosures around the sector they are looking at entering.<\/p>\n<p>Thirdly, you can just buy the stock after it gets separated out. So to repeat, in SPACs you almost always have the choice of buying the stock, the warrant, or the unit with both.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe a better question is&#8211;WHEN do you buy it. You can buy it blind right away or the second way to play a SPAC is to wait for a deal.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Remember, the biggest winners \u2013 Nikola, Draft Kings and Virgin Galactic \u2013 only traded up modestly after the announcement for a time.\u00a0 Virgin Galactic actually traded well below the $10 IPO price for a time.<\/p>\n<p>In other words \u2013 even with the best of the SPACs, there was no rush to buy.<\/p>\n<p>What is clear is that the SPAC model is gaining momentum right now.\u00a0 We should expect more companies coming to market through SPAC mergers.\u00a0 Given that some of these names are catching investor attention, it is a space worth keeping an eye on.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em>Keith Schaefer<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This might not seem like a very good time to bring a company public. But a small corner of the initial public offering (IPO) market is actually booming right now&ndash;and the biggest renewable energy company since Tesla (TSLA-NASD) is now involved.&nbsp; They&rsquo;re called Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs). You may not recognize the term, but [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[528],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1186249"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1186249"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1186249\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1186250,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1186249\/revisions\/1186250"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1186249"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1186249"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1186249"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}