{"id":1120310,"date":"2019-06-10T15:00:00","date_gmt":"2019-06-10T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/?guid=edd6cf4b82fd4f89396407f379b01037"},"modified":"2019-06-10T15:00:00","modified_gmt":"2019-06-10T15:00:00","slug":"put-your-trust-in-gold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/?p=1120310","title":{"rendered":"Put Your Trust in Gold"},"content":{"rendered":"<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Put Your Trust in Gold\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/media\/images\/frank-talk-images\/2019_ft\/JAN-JUN\/put-your-trust-in-gold-06102019.jpg\" width=\"600\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Americans&rsquo; trust in institutions, from the federal  government to banks to the news media, has been deteriorating for decades. Sixty years ago, three quarters of Americans  expressed faith in the government to do the right thing &ldquo;most of the time&rdquo; or  &ldquo;just about always.&rdquo; Today, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/investor-library\/frank-talk\/building-a-better-u-s-economy\">only  one in five people,<\/a> a near-record low, believes our leaders make decisions  in the country&rsquo;s best interest.<\/p>\n<p>The news media fares just as poorly. A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.journalism.org\/2019\/06\/05\/many-americans-say-made-up-news-is-a-critical-problem-that-needs-to-be-fixed\/\">new  survey<\/a> finds that Americans believe &ldquo;fake news&rdquo; is a bigger problem right  now than violent crime, illegal immigration and terrorism.<\/p>\n<p>Just take a look at the chart below, based on Gallup polling  data going back to 1973. Whether it&rsquo;s newspapers, television news or, more recently,  online news, Americans&rsquo; faith is steadily eroding. Last year, the percent of  Americans who said they have a &ldquo;great deal&rdquo; or &ldquo;quite a lot&rdquo; of confidence in  newspapers stood at a near-record low of 23 percent. Trust in television and  online news was even lower.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/media\/images\/investor-alert\/_2019\/2019-06-07\/COMM-americans-trust-in-news-media-slipping-06072019-LG.png\" rel=\"shadowbox\" style=\"color: #235f99; text-decoration: none;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/media\/images\/investor-alert\/_2019\/2019-06-07\/COMM-americans-trust-in-news-media-slipping-06072019.png\" alt=\"Americans trust in news media has been slipping for decades\" border=\"0\" width=\"600\"> <br \/>\n  <small style=\"font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;\">click to enlarge<\/small><\/a><\/p>\n<p>So where <em>can<\/em> you  still put your trust in today&rsquo;s often cynical world? Friends and family. Our  churches and other religious organizations. Our jobs.<\/p>\n<p>As an investor, I continue to have great faith in gold as a  store of value during times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. It&rsquo;s  behaved precisely as I expect it to. In response to heightened global trade  concerns and weakening economic indicators, investors have piled into the  yellow metal, pushing its price up for a remarkable eight straight days as of last Friday. We haven&rsquo;t seen such  a winning streak since June 2014, when gold traded up for 10 straight days. <\/p>\n<p>Late last  week, it was within striking distance of its 2019 high of about $1,356  an ounce, which should spur even more investors to get off the sidelines and  participate.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/media\/images\/investor-alert\/_2019\/2019-06-07\/COMM-gold-striking-distance-2019-high-06072019-LG.png\" rel=\"shadowbox\" style=\"color: #235f99; text-decoration: none;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/media\/images\/investor-alert\/_2019\/2019-06-07\/COMM-gold-striking-distance-2019-high-06072019.png\" alt=\"Gold within striking distance of 2019 high\" border=\"0\" width=\"600\"> <br \/>\n                  <small style=\"font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;\">click to enlarge<\/small><\/a><\/p>\n<h3>White House Still  Moving Forward With Tariff on All Mexican Goods<\/h3>\n<p>Indeed, there are a number of warning signs that suggest investors  should proceed with caution as the U.S. economic expansion turns 10 years old. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/investor-library\/frank-talk\/global-manufacturers-just-shrank-for-the-first-time-in-seven-years\">Global  manufacturing growth reversed<\/a> for the first time since 2012, with the  purchasing manager&rsquo;s index (PMI) falling for a record 13 months in May.<\/p>\n<p>This weakness turned up in the monthly jobs reports from the  federal government and payroll services provider Automatic Data Processing  (ADP). The Labor Department reported Friday that U.S. employment edged up only 75,000 in May, far below  expectations of 175,000.<\/p>\n<p>According to ADP, the U.S. added 27,000 jobs, making May the  weakest month for job gains in more than nine years. I don&rsquo;t know about you,  but I can&rsquo;t help reading this as a direct negative consequence of the White  House&rsquo;s escalating trade war with China and earlier <a href=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/investor-library\/frank-talk\/will-trump-be-a-one-term-president-because-of-mexican-tariffs\">threat  to impose a tariff on all imports from Mexico.<\/a> The U.S. goods producing  sector was hit hardest, with construction losing 36,000 positions, natural  resources and mining losing 4,000 and manufacturing losing 3,000. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/media\/images\/investor-alert\/_2019\/2019-06-07\/COMM-us-had-the-smallest-monthly-job-gain-06072019-LG.png\" rel=\"shadowbox\" style=\"color: #235f99; text-decoration: none;\"> <br \/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/media\/images\/investor-alert\/_2019\/2019-06-07\/COMM-us-had-the-smallest-monthly-job-gain-06072019.png\" alt=\"US had the smallest monthly job gain since economic expansion began\" border=\"0\" width=\"600\"><br \/>\n                  <small style=\"font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;\">click to enlarge<\/small><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The 5 percent Mexican tariff was &ldquo;indefinitely suspended,&rdquo; according to Trump Friday  evening, in exchange for Mexico doing more to stem the flow of illegal  immigration into the U.S.<\/p>\n<p>As I&rsquo;ve explained elsewhere, tariffs are essentially taxes  and, as such, they&rsquo;re inflationary. This has historically supported the price  of gold.<\/p>\n<p>Besides Walmart and Costco, a number of other retailers have  been telling customers and investors that prices will be going up thanks to the Chinese  tariff.  Discount retailer <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/video\/tariffs-impact-five-below-prices-14983738\">Five  Below<\/a> said it will likely need to raise prices on certain items above $5  for the first time. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.supplychaindive.com\/news\/dollar-stores-pass-new-tariffs-consumers\/556027\/\">Dollar  General and Dollar Tree<\/a> both alerted shoppers that they will be &ldquo;facing  higher prices as 2019 progresses.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<table width=\"250\" border=\"0\" align=\"right\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Trump Could Be a One-Term President Thanks to Mexican Tariffs\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/media\/images\/investor-alert\/_2019\/2019-06-07\/COMM-trump-modern-day-hoover-06072019.jpg\" width=\"250\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Discussing the trade war, JPMorgan&rsquo;s Michael Cembalest, who  hosts the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/jpmpdf\/1320747307056.pdf\">&ldquo;Eye on  the Market&rdquo;<\/a> podcast, reminded listeners last week of an article written back in August 2015  by Trump&rsquo;s National Economic Council director, Larry Kudlow, and former Trump  pick for the Federal Reserve Board of Governors Stephen Moore. In the article,  titled <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2015\/08\/26\/why-trumps-protectionist-ways-will-hurt-the-economy-commentary.html\">&ldquo;Why  Trump&rsquo;s protectionist ways will hurt the economy,&rdquo;<\/a> Kudlow and Moore  compared then-candidate Trump unfavorably to Herbert Hoover, the last  Republican &ldquo;trade protectionist.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Does Trump aspire to be a 21st century Hoover with a  modernized platform of the 1930 Smoot-Hawley tariff that helped send the U.S.  and world economy into a decade-long depression and a collapse of the banking  system?&rdquo; the two asked.<\/p>\n<p>For better or worse, we may end up getting an answer to this  question in the coming weeks and months.<\/p>\n<h3>What the Gold\/Silver  Ratio Is Telling Us<\/h3>\n<p>Another sign of slowing economic growth is the gold\/silver  ratio. This ratio tells you how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce  of gold. Last week it  crossed above 90 for the first time in 26 years, meaning silver has not been  this undervalued relative to gold since the first year of Bill Clinton&rsquo;s first  term. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/media\/images\/investor-alert\/_2019\/2019-06-07\/COMM-gold-to-silver-ratio-at-highest-06072019-LG.png\" rel=\"shadowbox\" style=\"color: #235f99; text-decoration: none;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/media\/images\/investor-alert\/_2019\/2019-06-07\/COMM-gold-to-silver-ratio-at-highest-06072019.png\" alt=\"Gold to silver ratio at highest level since 1993\" border=\"0\" width=\"600\"> <br \/>\n                  <small style=\"font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;\">click to enlarge<\/small><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The reason this is important is that half of silver demand  comes from industrial applications. When the demand cools, the price of silver  falls. One of the metal&rsquo;s primary uses is in semiconductors, sales of which  have been slipping.  According to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.prnewswire.com\/news-releases\/global-semiconductor-sales-decrease-14-6-percent-year-to-year-in-april-12-percent-decrease-in-annual-sales-projected-for-2019--300862010.html\">Semiconductor  Industry Association (SIA),<\/a> global sales were $32.1 billion in April, a  14.6 percent decrease from the same month last year. This is the deepest plunge  since the financial crisis.<\/p>\n<p>Buying silver, then, could be a contrarian play, but I  recommend also that you maintain a 10 percent weighting in gold. Although the  yellow metal&rsquo;s price surged last week, it&rsquo;s  still not quite in overbought territory when you look at the 14-day relative  strength index (RSI). There could be further  upside potential, especially if Trump revisits  the Mexican tariff.<\/p>\n<p style=\"color: #00457c; font-weight: boder; font-size: 16px; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong><em>Will inflationary tariffs finally boost gold? Watch my latest interview  with Kitco&rsquo;s Daniela Cambone by <a style=\"text-decoration: none; color: #f36a22;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/in-the-news\/will-inflationary-tariffs-finally-boost-gold\">clicking  here!<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"color: #00457c; font-weight: boder; font-size: 18px; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"smallDisclaimer\">All opinions expressed and data provided are subject to  change without notice. Some of these opinions may not be appropriate to every  investor. By clicking the link(s) above, you will be directed to a third-party  website(s). U.S. Global Investors does not endorse all information supplied by  this\/these website(s) and is not responsible for its\/their content.<\/p>\n<p class=\"smallDisclaimer\">The Purchasing Manager&rsquo;s Index is an indicator of the  economic health of the manufacturing sector. The PMI index is based on five  major indicators: new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries  and the employment environment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"smallDisclaimer\">Holdings may change daily. Holdings  are reported as of the most recent quarter-end. None of the securities  mentioned in the article were held by any accounts managed by U.S. Global  Investors as of 3\/31\/2019.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Americans&rsquo; trust in institutions, from the federal government to banks to the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[365,580,574],"tags":[48],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1120310"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1120310"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1120310\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1125874,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1120310\/revisions\/1125874"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1120310"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1120310"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1120310"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}