{"id":1117534,"date":"2019-05-23T11:30:03","date_gmt":"2019-05-23T11:30:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/?p=988948"},"modified":"2019-05-23T11:30:03","modified_gmt":"2019-05-23T11:30:03","slug":"zambias-just-deepened-worries-of-sinking-global-copper-output","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/juniorminingnews.com\/?p=1117534","title":{"rendered":"Zambia&#8217;s just deepened worries of sinking global copper output"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Zambia\u2019s Chamber of Mines delivered Thursdays further signs of a major global undersupply of copper about to hit the market by announcing that the country\u2019s output of the metal could be as much as 100,000 tonnes lower than last year.<\/p>\n<p>The industry lobby group attributed the expected drop in production to changes to mining taxes <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/barrick-mulls-selling-zambia-copper-mine-higher-taxes\/\"  rel=\"noopener\">introduced in January<\/a>, which is driving companies to cut output.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe new tax regime forced miners to do the unthinkable \u2013 cut production \u2013 because many cannot afford to continue producing as before,\u201d it said <a href=\"http:\/\/mines.org.zm\/category\/news\/\"  rel=\"noopener\">in a statement<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Zambia, Africa\u2019s second largest copper producer, churned out\u00a0861,946 tonnes of the metal last year. In the first three months of this year, the nation\u2019s copper output fell by 11.3% to 195,244 tonnes, compared to the previous quarter, the Bank of Zambia said\u00a0earlier this week.<\/p>\n<p><q class='pullQuote-right'>Copper output in Africa\u2019s second largest producer could decline by as much as 100,000 tonnes this year, adding to recent, sharp declines at the world\u2019s main producing nations.<\/q><\/p>\n<p>The world\u2019s main copper producing nations have been showing output declines this year, according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.icsg.org\/index.php\/component\/jdownloads\/finish\/114\/2932?Itemid=\"  rel=\"noopener\">latest monthly\u00a0bulletin<\/a> from the International Copper Study Group (ICSG).<\/p>\n<p>Global production declined 2.4% in February 2019, when compared to the same month last year, with 1,515kt (19,749ktpa) of contained copper produced globally.<\/p>\n<p>Chile, the world\u2019s No.1 producer of the metal, led the pack with output down 7.1 % y\/y to 415.9kt (5,412ktpa) while Peru, the second main global producer, saw its output fell by 5.1% y\/y to 176.1kt (2,296ktpa).<\/p>\n<p>Despite weaker copper production so far this year, ICSG data indicates a small surplus in February of 74kt with refined usage down 14% y\/y, totalling 1,758kt (22,917ktpa).<\/p>\n<p>Industry analysts at CRU believe that is undeniable that global demand for copper will soon surpass supply, the world may not need as many new mines as originally forecast.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past year there has been board approval for several high-profile expansions and new projects that are due on-stream over the next five years.<\/p>\n<p>CRU says the coming online of major projects, including Anglo American\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/anglo-close-selling-part-stake-giant-peruvian-copper-project\/\"  rel=\"noopener\">Quellaveco<\/a>\u00a0(2022), Teck Resources\u2019\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/teck-chooses-sumitomo-develop-chilean-copper-project-1-2b-deal\/\"  rel=\"noopener\">Quebrada Blanca expansion<\/a>\u00a0(2021) and\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/first-quantum-plans-327m-expansion-giant-copper-mine-panama\/\">First Quantum\u2019s Cobre Panama<\/a>\u00a0(already in production) should momentarily eliminate the gap between supply and demand.<\/p>\n<p>The research group now expects 900,000 tonnes a year more mine copper supply by the early 2020s than at this time in 2018.<strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3><strong>The EV effect<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>While the effect on copper demand from the electric vehicles (EVs) sector <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/bhp-bullish-long-term-evs-prospects\/\"  rel=\"noopener\">is expected to be important<\/a>, the consensus is that it will not meaningfully impact on demand until the second half of the 2020s, CRU says.<\/p>\n<p>The red metal is a key component in the lithium-ion batteries used in EVs, as well as power inverters and in the\u00a0charging infrastructure needed to keep them running.<\/p>\n<p>Data released by the International Copper Association (ICA), an industry-funded body, shows more than 40 million charging ports will be needed over the next decade, consuming an extra 100,000 tonnes of copper a year by 2027.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_988955\" style=\"width: 808px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-988955\" src=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/ev-copper-demand-ica.jpg\" alt=\"Zambia just deepened worries of sinking global copper output\" width=\"798\" height=\"400\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/ev-copper-demand-ica.jpg 798w, http:\/\/www.mining.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/ev-copper-demand-ica-300x150.jpg 300w, http:\/\/www.mining.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/ev-copper-demand-ica-768x385.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 798px) 100vw, 798px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">All types of EVs require copper. It is used in batteries, windings, rotors, wiring, busbars and charging infrastructure. (<em>Source <a href=\"https:\/\/copperalliance.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017.06-E-Mobility-Factsheet-1.pdf\"  rel=\"noopener\"> Research commissioned by the International Copper Association (ICA).<\/a><\/em>)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>From those stations, at least 3 million will be built in China by 2030, according to the study.<\/p>\n<p>Consumption from the car industry will also weigh on demand, but later. An average gasoline-powered car uses about 20 kg of copper, mainly as wiring. A hybrid needs about 40 kg and a fully electric car has roughly 80 kg of copper (176 pounds).<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_988953\" style=\"width: 808px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-988953\" src=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/ev-forecast-ica.jpg\" alt=\"Zambia just deepened worries of sinking global copper output\" width=\"798\" height=\"428\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/ev-forecast-ica.jpg 798w, http:\/\/www.mining.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/ev-forecast-ica-300x161.jpg 300w, http:\/\/www.mining.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/ev-forecast-ica-768x412.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 798px) 100vw, 798px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Copper demand will be substantially impacted by the growing market for electric vehicles (EVs) over the next decade. (<em>Source <a href=\"https:\/\/copperalliance.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017.06-E-Mobility-Factsheet-1.pdf\"  rel=\"noopener\"> Research commissioned by the International Copper Association (ICA).<\/a><\/em>)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>It means that, in the next decade,\u00a0global copper demand will increase between 3 and 5 million tonnes, experts predict. Once electric vehicles become popular, they estimate demand to reach 11,000,000 tonnes of new copper for EV\u2019s alone.<\/p>\n<p>Copper is also a key element in green technologies and renewables, which despite being adopted at a fast pace, they still represent only a minor percentage of the world\u2019s total energy production.<\/p>\n<p>The post <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/zambias-just-deepened-worries-sinking-global-copper-output\/\">Zambia&#8217;s just deepened worries of sinking global copper output<\/a> appeared first on <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/\">MINING.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Copper output in Africa&rsquo;s second largest producer could decline by as much as 100,000 tonnes this year, adding to recent, sharp declines at the world&rsquo;s main producing nations.<\/p>\n<p>The post <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/zambias-just-deepened-worries-sinking-global-copper-output\/\">Zambia&#8217;s just deepened worries of sinking global copper output<\/a> appeared first on <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.mining.com\/\">MINING.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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