Ted Butler: New Hope For Higher Silver Prices

by Tyler Durden Mon, 07/23/2018 – 20:35 Authored by Adam Taggart via PeakProsperity.com, Precious metals analyst Ted Butler returns to the podcast this week to discuss the long-suffering silver price.Will the beatings continue? Or is there finally reason to believe that, after seven painful years of languishing, silver may finally see a brighter future?Butler predicts a turning point is nigh. And ironically, he thinks silver’s savior will be the same cultprit responsible for keeping the price suppressed for all these years: Every time we’ve had a rally in the last 10 years, ever since J.P. Morgan took over the investment bank Bear Stearns, J.P. Morgan has added aggressively to its paper short division on the COMEX as speculators, technical funds and what-have-you come in to chase rallies higher. J.P. Morgan has always been the seller of last resort, and they sell whatever is required to satisfy all buying. And, ultimately, after that buying is satisfied, the prices roll … Continue reading

David Morgan: Crash Day In Silver and Gold

David discusses the recent drop in silver and how it is another “spike low.” These massive down days are often very sudden quick drops. These “spikes” are a good entry and exit point if you’re looking to get into the market. People don’t act consistently and keep to a simple strategy. He discusses what works for him in these markets and what he uses as indicators. He has bought this dip and will buy more if it drops again and expects a gradual price increase once the precious metals market gets moving and later on a price surge. Mr. Morgan talks about the concept of overhead resistance and why its a psychological barrier to price increases. There is a lot of this resistance that has to be overcome before the price can move higher. However, these are small markets, and resistance could be quickly overpowered if there is a flight … Continue reading

Renaissance Oil Cleared For Development On Chiapas Blocks and Acquires Right Of First Refusal On Shale Lands

On behalf of the Board of Directors, RENAISSANCE CLEARED FOR DEVELOPMENT ON CHIAPAS BLOCKS AND ACQUIRES RIGHT OF FIRST REFUSAL ON SHALE LANDS July 9, 2018 – Vancouver, BC – Renaissance Oil Corp. (“Renaissance” or the “Company”) (TSX-V: ROE) (OTCQB: RNSFF) is pleased to announce it has now received final authorizations from the relevant Mexican authorities to proceed with the development program on the Company’s three 100% held producing properties in the state of Chiapas (the “Chiapas Blocks”).  This development program, designed to significantly enhance production along with the exploration of new formations, comprises: 1) Major work-overs on three existing wells, one at Malva and two at Topén; 2) Drilling up to four Cretaceous wells, two at Malva, one Mundo Nuevo and one at Topén; and 3) Extensive coring in new zones of interest across the Chiapas Blocks. Major work-overs are scheduled to commence in August 2018.  The wells are tied into the existing … Continue reading

Micron/China Holding Markets Back

July 5, 2018 Just before the July 4th holiday, the US equity markets were about to rally above a defined wedge formation that has been defining price range for the past 7+ days.  As the markets opened on July 3rd, prices had already started to rally and appeared to be ready to rocket higher by a decent amount.  Yet, by early morning, news that China had banned Micron chip sales in a patent case caused the markets to reverse quite steadily.  This news, as it relates to US chip manufacturers and a major part of the NASDAQ, creates a temporary speed bump in the perceived rally that we have been expecting for weeks. The Technology sector makes up a very large component of the US major indexes.  Other than the DOW, technology firms are spread across nearly every sector of the US major indexes and this case may have some reach to it.  … Continue reading

Gold & Miners To Rally s US Equities Fall On FEA

June 25, 2018 The US Equities markets rotated over 1.35% lower on Monday, June 25, after a very eventful weekend full of news and global political concerns.  Much of this fear results from unknowns resulting from Europe, Asia, China, Mexico and the US.  Currently, there are so many “contagion factors” at play, we don’t know how all of it will eventually play out in the long run. Europe is in the midst of a moderate political revolt regarding refugee/immigration issues/costs and political turmoil originating from the European Union leadership.  How they resolve these issues will likely be counter to the populist demands from the people of Europe. Asia is in the midst of a political and economic cycle rotation.  Malaysia has recently elected Prime Minister Dr. Mahathir Mohamad, the 92-year-old previous prime minister (1981~2003) as a populist revolt against the Najib Razak administration.  In the process, Mahathir has opened new … Continue reading

Bubble Charts: War Between Tech Investors vs. Gold and Silver

The cyclical nature of commodities and equities goes back at least until the 1970’s. When commodities are doing well, equities are performing poorly. Then the cycle flips and investors pile into equities, eventually making them expensive and commodities like gold and silver become cheap. But what do you get when you take the extremes of both equities and commodities? The extreme side of equities, technology stocks (NASDAQ Composite) being driven by lines of code you can’t touch. On the opposite end of commodities, you get tangible precious metals, silver and in particular gold. Tech investors versus gold and silver couldn’t be more different. Their history of being at a tug-of-war has rarely been discussed until now.

When we look at the NASDAQ Composite (NASDAQ) in relation to gold and silver in US dollars, going back to 1971, when the Nixon shock occurred. You get a striking relationship that confirms the cyclical nature between the commodities and equities. This was four years before Paul Allen and Bill Gates read the famous popular mechanics issue highlighting the world’s first microcomputer kit. That magazine propelled the creation of Microsoft. The 1970’s were a period of rising commodity prices, high inflation, a stagnant economy, and multiple recessions.

 

The Pendulum of Gold and Silver vs. NASDAQ Composite

1) 1971 – 1980: Commodities went on an epic bull run, increasing by more than twenty-five times, clearly outperforming the NASDAQ. By 1980, the NASDAQ was incredibly cheap relative to gold and silver.

2) 1980 – 2000: From 1980 onward capital flowed out of gold and silver and the overall commodities complex. as interest rates lowered, and confidence in the public sector was renewed. Equities were the cheap asset class in relation to commodities. This then set up the bull run in technology with the NASDAQ peaking in 2000. Gold and silver by this time were incredibly cheap to the NASDAQ.

3) 2000 – 2011: The cycle rotated back to gold and silver until they peaked in 2011.  This is in contrast to the S&P/GS Commodity Index (GSCI), that peaked in 2008. For gold and silver investors that followed the GSCI, they would have sold out early, as gold almost doubled almost three years later in 2011.

4) 2011- Today: Investors could have rotated into the NASDAQ in 2011, when gold and silver peaked in 2011, as NASDAQ has since almost tripled. Today, both gold and silver are incredibly cheap to the NASDAQ. Today, silver may bounce around, but it will be small moves in relation to the coming years ahead, that just like the past four cycles the beginning moves were small until the end of the cycle. This fifth cycle will swing back to silver and gold and we expect them to outperform the NASDAQ on a multi-year basis during for the fifth rotation.

This back and forth pendulum swinging between the two, confirms the cyclical nature between equities and commodities, but at their extremes.

Gold and Silver Warn Tech Melt-Up

With the manufacturing starting to experience headwinds from the tariffs. Investors are rotating out of manufacturing stocks, and further into technology because for now, tech stocks are less impacted. This rotation may be the final push higher, which investors like Paul Tudor Jones are referring to a second half of 2018 peak in the markets. Remember, based on past cycles we have seen between gold and silver to the NASDAQ Composite, there was a big thrust UP at the peak. Will this time be any different?

As the NASDAQ pushes ahead while the S&P 500 languishes we are experiencing an accelerated melt-up. Is the blow-off-top going to be driven by technology because of the famous FOMO? It doesn’t have the same sensations of Bitcoin in 2017 or the Dotcom bubble yet. But as investors rotate out of Dow components because of trade concerns and into the asset light, businesses you end up at technology stocks. Gold and silver say, yes.

“Rates go up, and stocks go up in tandem at the end of the year. I can see things getting crazy, particularly at year end, after mid-term elections. I can see things crazy to the upside.” Paul Tudor Jones

Was Paul Tudor Jones referring to tech stocks?

US Economy Is Holding Up The World

The US economy continues to be strong, with the underlying ISM Manufacturing PMI at 58.7%, and the US ISM NON-Manufacturing PMI 58.6% for May. No, a recession isn’t in the cards yet. But we sure are getting close as the QE experiment is in tightening mode, and central banks are raising rates around the world.

The Melting Up of Tech Warns – Expect Lower Returns Next 5 Years

For the remainder of the year, it is still quite possible the NASDAQ could go higher, as the NASDAQ is still hasn’t experienced its phrase transition relative to gold and silver. Based on past cycles, there was always a melt-up and outlier for gold, silver, and the NASDAQ. Will the NASDAQ repeat history? With global central bank liquidity decreasing, increasing rates, and the ever-increasing tariffs, maybe it won’t break through the highs in 2002. Investors should reduce expectations to generate the same returns on a multi-year basis going forward as the past five years. For gold and silver investors, this is a massive long-term opportunity.


BULL MARKET SETTING UP FOR GOLD AND SILVER NEXT 5 YEARS

Once the NASDAQ peaks, capital will flow to commodities, setting in the new trend for the commodities boom. From an investors perspective, on a multi-year basis, the reward is clearly to gold and silver, the downside risk clearly to the NASDAQ. Tech investors will swear they will never own commodities. But do you want to continue the streak after the tech boom?

An investor does not need to be precisely right, but just approximately right over multiple years to take advantage of this gold and silver opportunity.

“You only need one bull market to build life-changing wealth. And a new bull market may be knocking at the door…” – Rick Rule

Taking a multi-year view and not shorter-term view, silver and gold are incredibly cheap right now and they stand to benefit from the capital outflows from technology based on the cyclical rotation that has historically occurred. We are only in the first inning or two for gold and silver, particularly when you look at the where the NASDAQ is today.

Takeaways from Tech vs Precious Metals Cycle

  • In all three booms that occurred between the NASDAQ Composite, gold, and silver, there was a melt-up higher for each of them. But the bottom may have already been set in 2016.
  • What is in favor today (Technology) will soon be out of favor in the future, and what is out of favor today (Silver & Gold) will become in favor tomorrow.
  • High-quality businesses with exposure to gold and/silver will give investors an edge to massively outperform the commodities complex and in particular the NASDAQ Composite on a multi-year basis.
  • Don’t marry the trade.
  • Following the Bloomberg Commodity Index is not bulletproof particularly for tech and precious metals investors.
  • Precious Metals will outperform the technology sector over the next 5 years because tech is peaking.

Buy Cheap and Sell to the Crowd

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We will be hosting a Live Webcast on Tuesday, July 3, at 4:20 PM ET. Mr. Paul Farrugia (President & CEO) will be discussing an unconventional approach for gold and silver investors in the coming commodity cycle.

There will be no replay. We have limited seats.  

Reserve Your Seat Today

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Mexico’s president-elect vows to preserve NAFTA

The Globe and Mail (Alberta Edition) July 3, 2018 ADRIAN MORROW WASHINGTON STEPHANIE NOLEN MEXICO CITY DANIEL LEBLANC OTTAWA   Leftist leader says he wants bilateral agreement with Canada if U.S. pulls out Mexico’s left-wing president-elect is promising to avoid fighting with Donald Trump, stay the course in renegotiating NAFTA – and keep the pact as a bilateral agreement with Canada if the U.S. President pulls out. Mr. Trump, meanwhile, is again floating the possibility of cutting separate deals with Canada and Mexico, while his administration warns Ottawa that fighting back against his steel and aluminum tariffs will not end the trade war. After a landslide election victory Sunday, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador rushed to reassure businesses and his country’s trading partners that he is committed to the trilateral agreement and to trying to get along with Mr. Trump. “We do not fight. We will always look for an agreement,” … Continue reading

Oil Targeting $58 PPB Before Finding Support

June 13, 2018 With the G7 meeting concluding and the world about to start reacting to what was said and what was heard, it is time to take a look at the Crude charts with our Advanced Fibonacci price modeling system.   Our research team, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, believes Crude will continue to drift lower over the next few weeks testing the $60 ppb level before breaching this support level and ultimately targeting $58 or lower.  Lacking a real resolution to the trade and other global issues, we believe continue global economic pressures will drive oil prices dramatically lower over time – at least through the Summer months. This Monthly Crude Light chart shows our Advanced Fibonacci price modeling system at work.  As of right now, we see a recent price rotation top (highlighted by the RED DOWN TRIANGLE) near the right edge of price as well as the RED and GREEN … Continue reading

Gold and Silver Setting Up For A Sleeper Breakout

  June 11, 2018 As the world continues to see economic improvements, specifically within the US and major global markets, Gold and Silver are relegated to an after-thought by investors.   Why consider Gold or Silver when the NASDAQ or S&P leaders are rallying 2%+ per week? Well, the recent G7 meeting and President Trump’s meeting with Kim Jung Un in Singapore may spark a little interest in these shiny metals as they setup a “rope-a-dope breakout” for those not paying attention. One of the easiest components of Fibonacci price theory is the concept that “price must always attempt to establish new price highs or new price lows within price rotation – ALWAYS”.  For those of you that are familiar with our research, visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com if you are not, you know that the lack of new price highs indicates a downward trend may have formed.  Conversely, a lack of new price lows indicated … Continue reading

American Manganese Inc. Announces Publication of Lithium-Ion Battery Cathode Recycling Process Patent Pending

May 29, 2018 AMY Process Patent Still Under Patent Pending Protection in 152 Countries and Jurisdictions. American Manganese Inc. (TSX.V:  AMY; OTC-US:  AMYZF; FSE:  2AM), is pleased to announce that the Company’s U.S. patent application has been published on May 17, 2018 under publication no. WO2018/089595 and titled: PROCESS OF COBALTOUS SULPHATE/DITH-IONATE LIQUORS DERIVED FROM COBALT RESOURCE. The publication is available for viewing and downloading on WIPO’s website.  The pro-duct application discusses the Company’s hydrometallurgical process for the successful recycling and recovery of cathode materials such as: lithium, cobalt, nickel, manganese and aluminum from lithium ion batteries. “Publication of the patent process takes us away from the area of a ‘black box’ technology and now discloses the underlying process, which we believe will assist the Company in moving forward with potential partnerships”, says Larry W. Reaugh, C.E.O. With increasing metal prices, decreasing resource availability and environmental regulations becoming stricter, ownership of this intellectual property creates … Continue reading