CTAs vs Central Banks: The QE Effect

In January 2015 at a Managed Funds Association conference I presented findings on the apparent relationship between commodity trading advisor (CTA) drawdowns and the Federal Reserve balance sheet, specifically the outright held securities part of it). The theme of the panel, and a subsequent research paper was: “Managed Futures and CTAs — Where are We and What’s Next?”

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From:: Resource Investor

Pardo: System designer has another upgrade

Bob Pardo taught himself computer programming as he anticipated the direction of trading back in the 1980s when he was in charge of floor operations for Salomon brothers and worked on supporting the execution of trading legend John Meriwether’s hedge fund.

“I bought an Apple II [and] taught myself programming. I wanted to use it to create trading signals and do market analysis,” Pardo says.

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From:: Resource Investor

Sentiment bruised by Tariff plans; Emerging markets tumble

Asian stocks were under renewed selling pressure this morning as global trade concerns and chaos across emerging markets weighed on risk appetite. Global trade developments have certainly placed investors on an emotional roller-coaster ride this week with the initial optimism over NAFTA talks outweighed by U.S.-China concerns. Market sentiment is likely to remain cautious, especially after President Donald Trump threatened to withdraw the United States from the World Trade Organisation.

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From:: Resource Investor

Crude storms brewing

Crude oil closed back above $70 a barrel as storms, both real and politically, started to develop. Prices were on the rise after U.S. oil supply fell 2.6 million barrels this week, which raised even more concerns about the market’s ability to replace plunging Venezuelan oil production and Iranian exports that reportedly already are facing falling oil supply. Now, you get Mother Nature involved with more storm activity brewing out in the Atlantic, and you have a very bullish outlook.

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From:: Resource Investor

3 Tradable events for the week of Aug. 27

Markets traditionally kick back into high gear after Labor Day, but one should not underestimate this last week of August. Trade talks remain at the forefront and last week’s newest round between the United States and China failed to yield true substance. However, the purpose was to delay the imminence of the third wave of tariffs in which the White House would impose $200 billion on Chinese goods; this, in our opinion, would be the official start of a trade war.

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From:: Resource Investor